The black swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Beskrivande text
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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Detaljerad information
| Artikelid: | 9780812979183 |
| ISBN 10: | 0812979184 |
| Förlag: | Random House USA |
| Utgivningsdatum: | 2008 |
| Utgivningsland: | Sverige |
| Språk: | Engelska |
| Format: | Pocket |
| Antal sidor: | 367 |
| Vikt: | 288 g |
| Höjd: | 205 mm |