Taking Chances

What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters and face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance, following medical advice, carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in
the field. It describes and analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest
Link", plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers.

(Oxford)

Bli först med att recensera och betygsätt boken Taking Chances - du kan vinna 200 kr varje månad i tävlingen "Månadens recension".

1. What is probability?; 2. Lotteries; 3. Football Pools, Premium Bonds; 4. One coin, many games; 5. Dice; 6. Games with few choices; 7. Waiting, waiting, waiting; 8. Let's play best of three; 9. TV games; 10. Casino games; 11. Bookies, the Tote, spread betting; 12. This sporting life; 13. Lucky for some--miscellenea; 14. Probability for lawyers; Appendix I: Counting; Appendix II: Probability; Appendix III: Averages and variability; Appendix IV: Goodness-of-fit tests; Appendix V: The Kelly strategy; Solutions to Test Yourself quizzes; Literature cited; Index

(Oxford)