Group-Based Modeling of Development (inbunden)

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Format: Inbunden (Hardback)
Språk: Engelska
Antal sidor: 214
Utgivningsdatum: 2005-04-01
Förlag: Harvard University Press
Illustrationer: 22 line illustrations, 35 tables
Dimensioner: 245 x 165 x 20 mm
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Antal komponenter: 1
ISBN: 9780674016866

Group-Based Modeling of Development

Name: Group-Based Modeling of Development
Price: 1372.00 SEK
Availability: InStock
Author: Daniel S Nagin
ISBN: 9780674016866

av Daniel S Nagin

Inbunden, Engelska, 2005-04-01

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This book provides a systematic exposition of a group-based statistical method for analyzing longitudinal data in the social and behavioral sciences and in medicine. The methods can be applied to a wide range of data, such as that describing the progression of delinquency and criminality over the life course, changes in income over time, the course of a disease or physiological condition, or the evolution of the socioeconomic status of communities. Using real-world research data from longitudinal studies, the book explains and applies this method for identifying distinctive time-based progressions called developmental trajectories. Rather than assuming the existence of developmental trajectories of a specific form before statistical data analysis begins, the method allows the trajectories to emerge from the data itself. Thus, in an analysis of data on Montreal school children, it teases apart four distinct trajectories of physical aggression over the ages 6 to 15, examines predictors of these trajectories, and identifies events that may alter the trajectories. Aimed at consumers of statistical methodology, including social scientists, criminologists, psychologists, and medical researchers, the book presents the statistical theory underlying the method with a mixture of intuition and technical development.

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Deterrence, Choice, and Crime, Volume 23

Daniel S Nagin, Francis T Cullen, Cheryl Lero Jonson

Deterrence, Choice, and Crime explores the various dimensions of modern deterrence theory, relevant research, and practical applications. Beginning with the classical roots of deterrence theory in Cesare Beccarias profoundly important contribution...

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Nagin's book provides a thorough and accessible treatment of the statistical method for analyzing longitudinal data to which he has contributed so much in the last decade. The hallmark of this method is its identification of a set of distinct trajectories of change over time in order to capture a sample's diversity in patterns of development. Nagin and his colleagues have applied, refined, and extended this approach over the past decade and this book is the culmination that brings it all together. -- D. Wayne Osgood, The Pennsylvania State University Daniel Nagin's work on developmental trajectories represents a fundamental component of modern thinking about delinquency. Further, as a paradigm for behavior modeling, his approach has great potential throughout the social sciences. This is an important book. -- Steven Durlauf, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Daniel S. Nagin is Teresa and H. John Heinz III University Professor of Public Policy and Statistics, Carnegie Mellon University.

Acknowledgments 1. Introduction and Rationale PART I. LAYING OUT THE BASIC MODEL 2. The Basic Model 3. Groups as an Approximation 4. Model Selection 5. Posterior Group-Membership Probabilities PART II. GENERALIZING THE BASIC MODEL 6. Statistically Linking Group Membership to Covariates 7. Adding Covariates to the Trajectories Themselves 8. Dual Trajectory Analysis 9. Concluding Observations References Index