War Termination as a Civil-Military Bargain

'This is an important book. Effectively bringing together the issues of civil-military relations and war termination, Cochran offers a novel theoretical argument and then evaluates it with convincing empirical analysis. Beyond its scholarly significance, the book also promises to make a contribution to understanding critical real world decisions about war termination.' - David M. Edelstein, Professor of Government, Georgetown University, USA, and author of Occupational Hazards: Success and Failure in Military Occupation (2008) 'A thoughtful and insightful analysis of the civil-military politics shaping an important aspect of war termination: the so-called 'blame game.' This is a valuable contribution to the larger mosaic of civil-military relations and the use of force.' - Peter D. Feaver, Professor of Political Science and Public Policy, Duke University and author of Armed Servants (2003) 'Cochran's study is a superbly written and theoretically grounded analysis of the bargaining between civilian and military leaders in the context of protracted armed conflict, with particular relevance to the context of 'small' or asymmetric wars. Based on a novel theory of blame attribution and the domestic politics of war, and supported by careful quantitative and case study analyses, the author's conclusions about the patterns of civilian-military interactions in war termination decision-making are intriguing and compelling. This is essential reading for those interested in war termination from both theoretical and practical perspectives and will be a valuable addition to graduate and advanced undergraduate courses in civil-military relations and security policy. I highly recommend War Termination as a Civil-Military Bargain.' - John Allen Williams, Professor of Political Science, Loyola University Chicago, USA and author of U.S. National Security: Policymakers, Processes, and Politics (2008) 'Shawn T. Cochran tackles an important and timely question: when will states decide to cut their losses and withdraw from costly, protracted wars? He argues persuasively that the key factor driving this decision is a bargaining process between civilian and military leaders. This concise and insightful book challenges prevailing popular opinion and existing scholarship on the topic, and will surely be of great interest to political scientists, military historians, and policymakers alike.' Lindsey O'Rourke, Professor of International Politics, Boston College, USA "In the last decade, the United States has extricated itself from two wars with great difficulty. Shawn T. Cochran's insightful book-deeply rooted in history, analytically careful, sensitive to the politics of narrative and authority-sheds light on war's end through the lens of civil-military relations. This is a valuable and original addition to the growing body of literature of war termination." - Ronald R. Krebs, Professor of Political Science, University of Minnesota, USA and author of Narrative and the Making of US National Security (2015) 'Shawn T. Cochran's original and insightful work significantly advances our understanding of the domestic politics of war termination and its linkage to civil-military relations. His analysis shows how civil-military bargaining influences the political narrative, and thus the risk calculus of political leaders in wartime. The author advances a new conceptual framework of ideal types for the assignment of blame within the context of failed wars. According to Cochran, civil-military bargaining acts as an important influence for all political leaders in wartime but especially for new leaders, those who come to power after the start of a war. The author makes interesting counter-intuitive arguments, including that new leaders remain at risk for being blamed and punished for a failed war someone else started. Cochran also challenges the widely accepted argument that civilians will be more committed to ending a protracted war than m

Shawn T. Cochran is Professor of Strategy and Security Studies at the U.S. Air Force School of Advanced Air and Space Studies.

1. An Unexplained Lacuna of the Politics of War 2. The Civil-Military Variable and How it Varies 3. Civil-Military Bargaining and the Politics of Blame 4. Israel in Lebanon, 1982-1985 5. The Netherlands in Indonesia, 1946-1949 6. South Africa in Namibia, 1966-1989 7. Conclusion