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Köp båda 2 för 709 kr"a brilliant book"
—Barry Meadow, harness betting columnist, Gambling Times e
"The Dr. Z system is a legitimate, mathematically sound winning strategy for betting on horses. It does not require handicapping to use. Ziemba and Hausch have provided us with a very nice application of money management in a complicated gambling situation." —Joel Friedman in Systems and Methods
"A landmark book, a masterpiece, a classic, an analytical tour de force. It's all that and more. But most importantly, for the serious horseplayer, it presents an unimpeachable, scientifically proven system for winning consistently at the track." —Alan Goldberg in Systems and Methods
"Ziemba's basic proposition rests on scholarly foundations. He is very much on top of a vast literature demonstrating that pari- mutuel betting at racetracks is an efficient market, just like the stock market. He believes that there are substantial market ineffi- ciencies in place and show betting, and Beat the Racetrack is an effort to explain how you can profitably exploit these." —Daniel Seligman, Fortune
"Destined to become a classic in the literature of racing. The prin- ciple is sound; the evidence is overwhelming. Any serious horse- player who does not read this book is missing a good bet." —Dick Mitchell, Gambling Times
"This book is for people who want to win. The gambling system it presents is one of the few I have ever seen that I think really works. I am convinced enough to bet my own money on it." —Edward O. Thorp, author of Beat the Dealer
"Dr. Z.. .turns betting into an exact science and turns the handicapping over to other people." —Archie McDonald Vancouver Sun
William T. Ziemba is professor of management science at the University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada. He is an expert in operations research and portfolio management and has served as consultant to the Canadian government on lotteries and pari-mutuel betting systems. Donald B. Hausch has a doctorate in managerial economics and decision sciences from Northwestern University, and is currently teaching in the School of Business at the University of Wisconsin, Madison. Hausch has co-authored two books and two edited volumes, and written numerous articles that have been published in the American Economic Review, Review of Financial Studies, International Economic Review, Management Science, Journal of Business, Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Economic Theory, RAND Journal of Economics, and other journals. He was an associate editor of Management Science for 10 year. He has consulted for the World Bank on the resolution of systemic financial distress, and he received a Vilas Research Award from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.
His research has explored the game-theoretic analysis of auctions and competitive bidding, with a special focus on information acquired prior to and discerned through the auction process itself. He also has researched bankruptcy reorganization and financial restructuring through negotiations and security design, the design of contracts and their ability to achieve efficient trade outcomes, and an empirical investigation of market inefficiency.
foreword by edward o. thorp
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
INTRODUCTION
1 discovery of the dr. z system
2 Betting at the Races
3 Applying Stock Market Efficiency Concepts to Horseracing Betting Markets
4 Finding Profitable Place and Show Bets
5 How Much Should You Bet?
6 Using the Dr. Z System at the Racetrack
7 Using the Dr. Z System in Other Situations
8 A Great Race: John Henry versus Lemhi Gold in the Oak Tree Invitational at Santa Anita, October 31, 1982
9 Results of Computer Studies Using the Dr. Z System over Long Periods
Exhibition Park: The 1978 summer season. Santa Anita: The 1973-74 winter meeting. Aqueduct: The 1981—82 winter season.
10 The Kentucky Derby: The Most Exciting Two Minutes in Sports
11 A Great Day for Canada: Sunny’s Halo Wins the 1983 Kentucky Derby
12 Betting on Favorites
13 A Typical Day at the Races: Making the Best Bet in Each Race, Hollywood Park, May 30, 1982
14 Minus Pools
15 Refinements to the Basic Dr. Z System
16 Epilogue
APPENDIXES
A Thoroughbred Racetracks in North America: Seasons, Purses, Betting, and Track Takes
B Mathematics of the Dr.Z System
BIBLIOGRAPHY
INDEX