Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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Beskrivande text
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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Övrig information
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge. Part literary essayist, part empiricist, part no-nonsense mathematical trader, he is currently the Dean's Professor in the Sciences of Uncertainty at the University of Massachusetts at Amherst. His last book, the bestseller Fooled by Randomness, has been published in eighteen languages. Taleb lives (mostly) in New York.
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Recensioner
Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling Freakonomics An idiosyncratically brilliant new book Sunday Telegraph A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Guardian Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling Financial Times Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot Sunday Times In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point Time
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Detaljerad information
| Artikelid: | 9780141034591 |
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| ISBN 10: | 0141034599 |
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| Förlag: | Penguin Books Ltd |
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| Utgivningsdatum: | 2008 |
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| Utgivningsland: | Tyskland |
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| Utgivningsort: | London |
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| Språk: | English |
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| Kategorisering: | Nationalekonomi |
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| Illustrationer: | Illustrations |
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| Upplaga | Trade Paperback. |
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| Format: | Paperback |
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| Antal sidor: | 400 |
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| Vikt: | 500 g |
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| Höjd: | 26 mm |
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