Lawrence J. Lau – författare

Recent political developments on the Korean peninsula suggest both the possibility and desirability for the neighboring powers to establish a new framework for regional peace. The US and North Korea have managed to reach an agreement to reduce mutually hostile threats on a reciprocal basis, and to normalize diplomatic relations by removing economic sanctions. They have thus created conditions potentially favorable for the expansion of trade and the inflow of economic assistance and foreign direct investment to North Korea.A crucial question, however, is will North Korea choose to transform its internal system and adopt an open-door policy in an effort to revive its stagnant economy? The distinguished contributors to this volume address the central issue of the development potential of the North Korean economy and the potential compatibility of economic reform with the maintenance of internal political stability. They examine what will be needed in the way of reform for North Korea to build its social infrastructure and manage its industrial transition to become part of the global market economy. Lessons are drawn from the experiences of China's economic reform since 1979 and German reunification and some sharp insights are provided into the economic forces that will play a major role in shaping the future course of North Korea.This timely book will be of great interest to policymakers, scholars, and students of Asian and transition economies.

Beyond real GDP, innovative capacity is an important indicator of the economic strength of a nation. By studying innovative capacity and other indicators of success in innovation across the Group-of-Seven (G7) Countries, the East Asian Newly Industrialised Economies (EANIEs) and Mainland China, this book will systematically establish a positive relationship between innovation outputs and inputs of different economies. In doing so, it seeks to answer the question — are there laws of innovation? It seeks to identify the determinants of innovation at the economy-wide level, ascertain whether these determinants are similar across different economies, and find suitable metrics for comparing relative success in innovation across different economies. It concludes that innovation, rather than being a stroke of good fortune, comes from research and development activities conducted over a long period of time, and sheds light on future trends and areas for further research.

Some people might believe in the 'Thucydides Trap' that, as a rising power challenges the dominance of an established power, a China-U.S. trade war will be inevitable. Being the largest and the second largest trading nations globally, the U.S. and China are, in fact, each other’s most important partner in trade. In this book, Lau looks through various economic statistics of the past few decades and shows us that while the real effects of the China-U.S. trade war in 2018 are not negligible, they are relatively manageable for both nations. There is no need to panic despite psychological effects on the Chinese stock markets and on the Renminbi exchange rate. Behind the trade war is the potential economic and technological competition between China and the U.S., which is likely to become the 'new normal'. It is up to each government battle against the rise of xenophobia, with the facts that China-U.S. economic collaboration is a potentially positive-sum game through better coordination and fully utilising each other’s currently underutilised resources. Balancing China-U.S. trade and enhancing economic interdependence is actually possible.

Since China undertook economic reform and opened its economy to the world in the late 1970s, its economy has been growing at an average annual rate of over 9 percent for more than four decades. No other economy in recorded history has grown at such a high rate and for such a long period as China has done. The questions that naturally arise are: Was the Chinese economy a miracle? Or was it a mere bubble? Will the Chinese economy begin to stagnate like the Japanese economy did in the 1990s, and perhaps decline? Will it be able to escape the "middle-income trap"? If it is not a miracle, can the Chinese development experience be replicated elsewhere?This book provides a comprehensive and detailed discussion of the remarkable growth of the Chinese economy over the past decades, by scrutinising the sources of economic growth. It also evaluates the strategies adopted by the Chinese government to promote the transition from a centrally-planned economy to a market-based economy through the "dual-track" approach. It is argued that, while the Chinese economy is unique and exceptional in many ways, its development experience can be explained and attributed.