M. Clements - Böcker

This book has been written as a practical guide for finance markets professionals to explain US monetary policy and to make forecasts of future interest rate levels.

This text has been written as a practical guide for finance markets professionals to explain US monetary policy and to make forecasts of future interest rate levels. Aimed at market players, familiar with US policy instruments, "Explaining and Forecasting the US Federal Funds Rate" provides a means of making independent interest rate forecasts as well as explaining current rate levels.

Financial econometrics is one of the greatest on-going success stories of recent decades as it has become one of the most active areas of research in econometrics. In this book, Michael Clements presents a clear and logical explanation of the key concepts and ideas of forecasts of economic and financial variable. He shows that forecasts of the single most likely outcome of an economic and financial variable are of limited value. Forecasts that provide more information on the expected likely ranges of outcomes are more relevant. This book provides a comprehensive treatment of the evaluation of different types of forecasts and draws out the parallels between the different approaches. It describes the methods of evaluating these more complex forecasts which provide a fuller description of the range of possible future outcomes.