Robert A. Desharnais – författare

Complex Population Dynamics: Theory and Data brings together over two decades of research and reflection on experimental nonlinear population dynamics. The broad theme of the book is the interface of population data and mathematical models. The authors establish a cornerstone example of a low-dimensional mathematical population model for which quantitative predictions, often unexpected, were borne out in controlled and replicated experiments. Central messages include the importance of low-dimensional, mechanistic models that serve as testable hypotheses; the importance of model validation on independent data; the prediction of novel outcomes in response to parameter manipulation; the interaction of nonlinearity and stochasticity—and how stochasticity illuminates, rather than obscures, deterministic forces; abrupt transitions in dynamic regimes in response to interventions; and how chaotic dynamics are expressed in discrete-state, noisy population systems. The book explores nonlinear phenomena in experimental data, including equilibria, cycles, bifurcations, invariant loops, multiple attractors, resonance and attenuance, saddles, stable and unstable manifolds, basins of attraction, basin boundaries, and chaos, and shows how these dynamics manifest in real data in both time series and state space plots.The book offers an invaluable resource to professional ecologists and applied mathematicians. Although primarily a reference text, it is written to be accessible and engaging to a student audience and could be used as supplementary reading in an advanced ecological modeling class.FeaturesWritten in an engaging style with minimal mathematical prerequisites, making it accessible to an audience of general ecologists as well as a more specialized mathematical audienceA complete accompanying data set from all experiments is freely available on DryadReaders can conveniently explore the model dynamics under discussion with an online LPA simulator.

Complex Population Dynamics: Theory and Data brings together over two decades of research and reflection on experimental nonlinear population dynamics. The broad theme of the book is the interface of population data and mathematical models. The authors establish a cornerstone example of a low-dimensional mathematical population model for which quantitative predictions, often unexpected, were borne out in controlled and replicated experiments. Central messages include the importance of low-dimensional, mechanistic models that serve as testable hypotheses; the importance of model validation on independent data; the prediction of novel outcomes in response to parameter manipulation; the interaction of nonlinearity and stochasticity-and how stochasticity illuminates, rather than obscures, deterministic forces; abrupt transitions in dynamic regimes in response to interventions; and how chaotic dynamics are expressed in discrete-state, noisy population systems. The book explores nonlinear phenomena in experimental data, including equilibria, cycles, bifurcations, invariant loops, multiple attractors, resonance and attenuance, saddles, stable and unstable manifolds, basins of attraction, basin boundaries, and chaos, and shows how these dynamics manifest in real data in both time series and state space plots.The book offers an invaluable resource to professional ecologists and applied mathematicians. Although primarily a reference text, it is written to be accessible and engaging to a student audience and could be used as supplementary reading in an advanced ecological modeling class.Features Written in an engaging style with minimal mathematical prerequisites, making it accessible to an audience of general ecologists as well as a more specialized mathematical audience A complete accompanying data set from all experiments is freely available on Dryad Readers can conveniently explore the model dynamics under discussion with an online LPA simulator.

Complex Population Dynamics: Theory and Data brings together over two decades of research and reflection on experimental nonlinear population dynamics. The broad theme of the book is the interface of population data and mathematical models. The authors establish a cornerstone example of a low-dimensional mathematical population model for which quantitative predictions, often unexpected, were borne out in controlled and replicated experiments. Central messages include the importance of low-dimensional, mechanistic models that serve as testable hypotheses; the importance of model validation on independent data; the prediction of novel outcomes in response to parameter manipulation; the interaction of nonlinearity and stochasticity-and how stochasticity illuminates, rather than obscures, deterministic forces; abrupt transitions in dynamic regimes in response to interventions; and how chaotic dynamics are expressed in discrete-state, noisy population systems. The book explores nonlinear phenomena in experimental data, including equilibria, cycles, bifurcations, invariant loops, multiple attractors, resonance and attenuance, saddles, stable and unstable manifolds, basins of attraction, basin boundaries, and chaos, and shows how these dynamics manifest in real data in both time series and state space plots.The book offers an invaluable resource to professional ecologists and applied mathematicians. Although primarily a reference text, it is written to be accessible and engaging to a student audience and could be used as supplementary reading in an advanced ecological modeling class.Features Written in an engaging style with minimal mathematical prerequisites, making it accessible to an audience of general ecologists as well as a more specialized mathematical audience A complete accompanying data set from all experiments is freely available on Dryad Readers can conveniently explore the model dynamics under discussion with an online LPA simulator.

The study of populations is becoming increasingly focused on dynamics. We believe there are two reasons for this trend. The ftrst is the impactof nonlinear dynamics with its exciting ideas and colorful language: bifurcations, domains of attraction, chaos, fractals, strange attractors. Complexity, which is so very much a part of biology, now seems to be also a part of mathematics. A second trend is the accessibility of the new concepts. Thebarriers tocommunicationbetween theoristandexperimentalistseemless impenetrable. The active participationofthe experimentalist means that the theory will obtain substance. Our role is the application of the theory of dynamics to the analysis ofbiological populations. We began our work early in 1979 by writing an ordinary differential equation for the rateofchange in adult numbers which was based on an equilibrium model proposed adecadeearlier. Duringthenextfewmonths weftlledournotebookswithstraightforward deductions from the model and its associated biological implications. Slowly, some of the biological observations were explained and papers followed on a variety of topics: genetic and demographic stability, stationary probability distributions for population size,population growth asabirth-deathprocess, natural selectionanddensity-dependent population growth, genetic disequilibrium, and the stationary stochastic dynamics of adult numbers.