Arvid Aulin – författare
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4 produkter
4 produkter
Del 431 - Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Causal and Stochastic Elements in Business Cycles
An Essential Extension of Macroeconomics Leading to Improved Predictions of Data
Häftad, Engelska, 1996
556 kr
Skickas inom 10-15 vardagar
The prevailing orthodoxy according to which all macroeconomic theory should be reducible to microeconomics is criticized. Such a dogma excludes from economics the creation of new knowledge, which - as distinguished from the mere transmission of knowledge in education and training - is a social process not reducible to microeconomics. A mathematical extension of the Lucas theory to allow for the effects of creation of knowledge upon economic development is shown to improve essentially the prediction of business cycle data, when compared with the conventional real business cycle models of Kydland and Prescott, Hansen and Rogerson, and Danthine and Donaldson.
Del 464 - Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems
Impact of Science on Economic Growth and its Cycles
The Mathematical Dynamics Determined by the Basic Macroeconomic Facts
Häftad, Engelska, 1998
556 kr
Skickas inom 10-15 vardagar
The author shows that the enormous gap between theory and facts in modern macroeconomics can only be eliminated by nonlinear macroeconomic dynamics with the following special characteristics: First of all, only certain group-theoretical invariants generate the correct growth cycles with irregularly varying lengths, not any stochastic process as usually applied for this purpose. Furthermore, a special extended value function and generalized human capital are needed for a correct representation of scientific and technological innovation. Finally, the correct nonlinear macroeconomic dynamics are not reducible to microeconomics, for both of the above mentioned reasons.
Origins of Economic Growth
The Fundamental Interaction between Material and Nonmaterial Values
Häftad, Engelska, 2011
556 kr
Skickas inom 10-15 vardagar
This book deals with factors affecting economic growth in knowledge-based societies. It is shown that the interaction between material and nonmaterial values is the ultimate source of all economic growth including business cycles. The model developed predicts the quantitative facts concerning the business cycles better than the conventional real-cycle models. It also produces, besides the balanced-growth path, another growth path whose existence is verified by empirical facts. The results give strong evidence of the economic relevance of nonmaterial values. They also prompt a new vision of the stochastic elements in the business cycles. Nonmaterial values are analysed, and their interaction with economic growth is also illustrated in terms of an entropy formalism of historical analysis.
556 kr
Skickas inom 10-15 vardagar
DYNAMIC ECONOMICS with increasing returns is extended tocope with economic growth, the business cycles and theirregular swings in the long-term development as differentaspects of the same dynamical system, the economic system"as a whole".HUMAN CAPITAL emerges as the seminal concept: economicgrowth is in this dynamics causally reduced to the growth ofhuman capital and thus to the growth of exact scientificknowledge. An analysis of this knowledge shows that qualityeducation in hard sciences must be a prime target of futureeconomic policies.A CAUSAL STRUCTURE, new in economics, underlies the extendeddynamics. To enable students to study and to improve it, adetailled introduction to nonlinear causality is given,emphasizing the points relevant to this causal structure.NATIONAL ACCOUNTING and input-output dynamics are suggestedto be extended to include also the production prices andproduction of human capital and of human time, by using amethod of calculation indicated in detail in the book.