Paul Doukhan - Böcker

The purpose of this book is to give a detailed account of some recent devel- ments in the ?eld of probability and statistics for dependent data. It covers a wide range of topics from Markov chains theory, weak dependence, dynamical system to strong dependence and their applications. The title of this book has been somehow borrowed from the book ”Dependence in Probability and Statistics: a Survey of Recent Result” edited by Ernst Eberlein and Murad S. Taqqu, Birkh¨ auser (1986), which could serve as an excellent prerequisite for reading this book. We hope that the reader will ?nd it as useful and stimulating as the previous one. This book was planned during a conference, entitled “STATDEP2005: Statistics for dependent data”, organized by the Statistical Laboratory of the CREST (Research Center in Economy and Statistics), in Paris/Malako?, under the auspices of the French State Statistical Institute, INSEE. See http://www.crest.fr/pageperso/statdep2005/home.htm for some r- rospective informations. However this book is not a conference proceeding. This conference has witnessed the rapid growth of contributions on dep- dent data in the probabilistic and statistical literature and the need for a book covering recent developments scattered in various probability and s- tistical journals. To achieve such a goal, we have solicited some participants of the conferences as well as other specialists of the ?eld.

Time series and random ?elds are main topics in modern statistical techniques. They are essential for applications where randomness plays an important role. Indeed, physical constraints mean that serious modelling cannot be done - ing only independent sequences. This is a real problem because asymptotic properties are not always known in this case. Thepresentworkisdevotedtoprovidingaframeworkforthecommonlyused time series. In order to validate the main statistics, one needs rigorous limit theorems. In the ?eld of probability theory, asymptotic behavior of sums may or may not be analogous to those of independent sequences. We are involved with this ?rst case in this book. Very sharp results have been proved for mixing processes, a notion int- duced by Murray Rosenblatt [166]. Extensive discussions of this topic may be found in his Dependence in Probability and Statistics (a monograph published by Birkhau ¨ser in 1986) and in Doukhan (1994) [61], and the sharpest results may be found in Rio (2000)[161]. However, a counterexample of a really simple non-mixing process was exhibited by Andrews (1984) [2]. The notion of weak dependence discussed here takes real account of the available models, which are discussed extensively. Our idea is that robustness of the limit theorems with respect to the model should be taken into account. In real applications, nobody may assert, for example, the existence of a density for the inputs in a certain model, while such assumptions are always needed when dealing with mixing concepts.

Mixing is concerned with the analysis of dependence between sigma-fields defined on the same underlying probability space. It provides an important tool of analysis for random fields, Markov processes, central limit theorems as well as being a topic of current research interest in its own right. The aim of this monograph is to provide a study of applications of dependence in probability and statistics. It is divided in two parts, the first covering the definitions and probabilistic properties of mixing theory. The second part describes mixing properties of classical processes and random fields as well as providing a detailed study of linear and Gaussian fields. Consequently, this book will provide statisticians dealing with problems involving weak dependence properties with a powerful tool.

The area of data analysis has been greatly affected by our computer age. For example, the issue of collecting and storing huge data sets has become quite simplified and has greatly affected such areas as finance and telecommunications. Even non-specialists try to analyze data sets and ask basic questions about their structure. One such question is whether one observes some type of invariance with respect to scale, a question that is closely related to the existence of long-range dependence in the data. This important topic of long-range dependence is the focus of this unique work, written by a number of specialists on the subject. The topics selected should give a good overview from the probabilistic and statistical perspective. Included will be articles on fractional Brownian motion, models, inequalities and limit theorems, periodic long-range dependence, parametric, semiparametric, and non-parametric estimation, long-memory stochastic volatility models, robust estimation, and prediction for longrange dependence sequences.For those graduate students and researchers who want to use the methodology and need to know the "tricks of the trade", there will be a special section called "Mathematical Techniques". The last part of the book is devoted to applications in the areas of simulation, estimation and wavelet techniques, traffic in computer networks, econometry and finance, multifractal models, and hydrology. Diamgrams and illustrations will enhance the presentation.

This book presents essential tools for modelling non-linear time series.