Arab Economies in the Twenty-First Century

Paul Rivlin is the author of three books: The Dynamics of Economic Policy Making in Egypt (1985), The Israeli Economy (1992) and Economic Policy and Performance in the Arab World (2001), as well as numerous monographs, papers, contributions to books, and reports on economic development in the Middle East and on international energy markets, defence, and trade economics. Educated at Cambridge, Harvard and London universities, he taught undergraduate and graduate courses on Middle East Economics at Tel Aviv and Ben Gurion universities and has been a Visiting Professor of Economics at Emory University. He has lectured in the United States, China, India, Japan and Europe.

'Rivlin's analysis of the Arab economies is the most thorough and astute available today, offering exceptional insights into the interactions of history, politics, and economics across the region. Rivlin focuses our attention on how the Arab world has squandered the 'demographic gift' of a rapidly growing work force and shrinking portion of dependents. He shows how political conservatism has not only been supported by oil revenues and remittances, it has blocked the reforms needed to promote modern education and rapid industrialization. As a result, rapid labor force growth has not been a source of rising productivity, but of rising unemployment, political restiveness, and radicalism.' Jack A. Goldstone, George Mason University

• 1. Introduction; 2. Demography and economics; 3. The constraints of history; 4. Comparative economics: the Arab world, East Asia and South America; 5. Egypt: the submerged giant?; 6. Iraq: after destruction; 7. Jordan: from rents to market?; 8. Morocco: reforms that did not cure; 9. Palestine: the making and unmaking of a state; 10. Saudi Arabia: oil wealth and unemployment; 11. Syria: lost potential; 12. Tunisia: unhappy leader; 13. Conclusions: the Arab equilibrium.