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This book analyzes a series of decisions by leaders of three major terrorist organizations and identifies a unique "Decision DNA" for each of them.
The authors use the Applied Decision Analysis methodology to examine organizational and operational decisions made by the leaders of three major groups: Hezbollah (Hassan Nasrallah), Hamas (Khaled Mashal), and al-Qaeda (Osama bin Laden). Decisions that were of critical importance to each organization are identified and anaylzed, to uncover the particular decision rule employed by the leader in question and to establish their "Decision DNA." A Decision DNA is unique to each leader and can be used to explain previous decisions or predict future choices. The authors demonstrate that the findings presented can be used to promote effective counterterrorism measures, and they provide a series of policy implications that arise from their examination of each leader.
This book will be of much interest to students of terrorist studies, political violence, security studies, and Middle Eastern politics.
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This book analyzes a series of decisions by leaders of three major terrorist organizations and identifies a unique "Decision DNA" for each of them.
The authors use the Applied Decision Analysis methodology to examine organizational and operational decisions made by the leaders of three major groups: Hezbollah (Hassan Nasrallah), Hamas (Khaled Mashal), and al-Qaeda (Osama bin Laden). Decisions that were of critical importance to each organization are identified and anaylzed, to uncover the particular decision rule employed by the leader in question and to establish their "Decision DNA." A Decision DNA is unique to each leader and can be used to explain previous decisions or predict future choices. The authors demonstrate that the findings presented can be used to promote effective counterterrorism measures, and they provide a series of policy implications that arise from their examination of each leader.
This book will be of much interest to students of terrorist studies, political violence, security studies, and Middle Eastern politics.
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This is a timely collection of essays utilizing the political economy approach to military spending, primarily by the United States.
The articles deal specifically with the relationships between defense spending and:
(a) political-business cycles, public opinion and the US-Soviet relationship;
(b) military action - i.e. war;
(c) economic performance - the trade deficit, guns versus butter issues and fiscal policy.
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This is a timely collection of essays utilizing the political economy approach to military spending, primarily by the United States.
The articles deal specifically with the relationships between defense spending and:
(a) political-business cycles, public opinion and the US-Soviet relationship;
(b) military action - i.e. war;
(c) economic performance - the trade deficit, guns versus butter issues and fiscal policy.
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How Do Leaders MakeDecisions?: Evidence from the East and West, Part B,the second in a two-part volume covering a total of ten world leaders, fills thisgap by using the Applied Decision Analysis (ADA) method to explore how figuressuch as Putin, Erdogan, Khaled Mashal, Mao, and Saddam Hussein make or made majordecisions of international significance. By analysing the decisions made by keypolitical figures around the world, past and present, the chapters gatheredhere shed light on how they are reached and what policy implications they havefor their own and other nations. The analyses are based on traditional andcontemporary theories of foreign policy decision making, including, but notlimited to, the rational actor model, the cybernetic theory of decision,poliheuristic theory, and various decision rules, including the elimination-by-aspectrule and the lexicographic decision rule. Cumulatively, what these chaptersuncover is that foreign and nationalsecurity policies can be best explained by tracing the cognitive processleaders go through in formulating and arriving at their decisions.
For itsgroundbreakingly rigorous methodology and its unprecedented scope, this bookand its companion book are essential reading for students, scholars, andpolicymakers alike.