Ioannis Ntzoufras - Böcker

A hands-on introduction to the principles of Bayesian modeling using WinBUGS Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS provides an easily accessible introduction to the use of WinBUGS programming techniques in a variety of Bayesian modeling settings. The author provides an accessible treatment of the topic, offering readers a smooth introduction to the principles of Bayesian modeling with detailed guidance on the practical implementation of key principles.The book begins with a basic introduction to Bayesian inference and the WinBUGS software and goes on to cover key topics, including: Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms in Bayesian inference Generalized linear models Bayesian hierarchical models Predictive distribution and model checking Bayesian model and variable evaluation Computational notes and screen captures illustrate the use of both WinBUGS as well as R software to apply the discussed techniques. Exercises at the end of each chapter allow readers to test their understanding of the presented concepts and all data sets and code are available on the book's related Web site.Requiring only a working knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Bayesian Modeling Using WinBUGS serves as an excellent book for courses on Bayesian statistics at the upper-undergraduate and graduate levels. It is also a valuable reference for researchers and practitioners in the fields of statistics, actuarial science, medicine, and the social sciences who use WinBUGS in their everyday work.

Predictive Modelling for Football Analytics discusses the most well-known models and the main computational tools for the football analytics domain. It further introduces the footBayes R package that accompanies the reader through all the examples proposed in the book. It aims to be both a practical guide and a theoretical foundation for students, data scientists, sports analysts, and football professionals who wish to understand and apply predictive modelling in a football context.Key FeaturesDiscusses various modelling strategies and predictive tools related to football analyticsIntroduces algorithms and computational tools to check the models, make predictions, and visualize the final resultsShowcases some guided examples through the use of the footBayes R package available on CRANWalks the reader through the full pipeline: from data collection and preprocessing, through exploratory analysis and feature engineering, to advanced modelling techniques and evaluationBridges the gap between raw football data and actionable insightsThis text is primarily for senior undergraduates, graduate students, and academic researchers in the fields of mathematics, statistics, and computer science willing to learn about the football analytics domain. Although technical in nature, the book is designed to be accessible to readers with a background in statistics, programming, or a strong interest in sports analytics. It is well-suited for use in academic courses on sports analytics, data science projects, or professional development within football clubs, agencies, and media organizations.