This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households).
"In fourteen chapters it provides the reader with the necessary tools for creating numerous population projection methods. ... both graduate and upper-level undergraduate students could use this book as the sole textbook for a course, or as a supplement focusing on select chapters. Similarly, those who need a refresher on specific projection fundamentals will find this book full of helpful information. ... Reading this book is an eye-opening journey into the complex world of population projections/forecasts." (Alison Yacyshyn, Canadian Studies in population, Vol. 42 (3-4), 2015)
Innehållsförteckning
Chapter 1: Rationale, Terminology, Scope.- Chapter 2: Fundamental of Population Analysis.- Chapter 3: Overview of the Cohort-Component Method.- Chapter 4: Mortality.- Chapter 5: fertility.- Chapter 6: Migration.- Chapter 7: Implementing the Cohort-Component Method.- Chapter 8: Extrapolation Methods.- Chapter 9: Structural and Microsimulation Models.- Chapter 10: Special Adjustments.- Chapter 11: Related Projections.- Chapter 12: Evaluating Projections.- Chapter 13 Forecast Accuracy and Bias.- Chapter 14: A Practical Guide to Small-Area Projections.- Epilogues: Some Final Thoughts.- Glossary.- Index.