Philip E. Tetlock – författare
Visar alla böcker från författaren Philip E. Tetlock. Handla med fri frakt och snabb leverans.
13 produkter
Expert Political Judgment
How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Häftad, 2017
411 kr
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Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find …
Konsten att förutsäga framtiden : en bok om superprognostik
Av Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
Inbunden, 2016
243 kr
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Alla gör vi förutsägelser, i stort och i smått. Om världshändelser, om vem som vinner val eller fotbollsmatcher, om samhällsekonomi och privatekonomi, om vad som kommer att ske på jobbet och så vidare. Vi är alla prognostiker, men de flesta av oss är dåliga på att förutsäga framtiden. Psykologen …
Superforecasting
The Art and Science of Prediction
Av Dan Gardner, Philip E. Tetlock
Häftad, 2016
164 kr
Tillfälligt slut
NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “ The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow . ” —Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying …
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives
Av Philip E. Tetlock, Aaron Belkin
Häftad, 1996
723 kr
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Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, …
Clash of Rights
Liberty, Equality, and Legitimacy in Pluralist Democracy
Av Paul M. Sniderman, Joseph F. Fletcher m. fl.
Häftad, 1997
528 kr
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Why do citizens in pluralist democracies disagree collectively about the very values they agree on individually? This provocative book highlights the inescapable conflicts of rights and values at the heart of democratic politics. Based on interviews with thousands of citizens and political decision …
Expert Political Judgment
How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Inbunden, 2017
1108 kr
Lägg i varukorg
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find …
Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics
Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives
Av Aaron Belkin, Philip E. Tetlock
E-bok, 2020
970 kr
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Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, …
Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
Av Paul M. Sniderman, Philip E. Tetlock m. fl.
Inbunden, 1993
1476 kr
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A Stanford University Press classic.
Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
Av Paul M. Sniderman, Philip E. Tetlock m. fl.
Häftad, 1994
343 kr
Lägg i varukorg
A Stanford University Press classic.
Expert Political Judgment
How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
E-bok, 2017
305 kr
Lägg i varukorg
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find …
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
(with bonus article 'Managing 21st-Century Political Risk' by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Av Harvard Business Review, Robert S. Kaplan m. fl.
Häftad, 2020
219 kr
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Is your business playing it safe—or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help your company make smart decisions and thrive, even when …
HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "e;Managing 21st-Century Political Risk"e; by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Av Paul J. H. Schoemaker, Philip E. Tetlock m. fl.
E-bok, 2020
309 kr
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Is your business playing it safe--or taking the right risks? Risk is a regular part of business, but knowing which risks to take and when to step back is often unclear. Whether you''re assessing a new opportunity for innovation or thinking about your long-term strategy in an unsteady economy, you …
Superforecasting – Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose
Av Dan Gardner, Philip E. Tetlock
E-bok, 2016
147 kr
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Der Psychologe und Politikwissenschaftler Philip Tetlock gibt in seinem leichtverständlichen Wissenschafts-Sachbuch ›Superforecasting. Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose‹ eine Anleitung für treffsichere Prognosen in einer unsicheren Zeit.»Superforecaster« sind Menschen, denen erstaunlich gute …
