Regression and Other Stories

The authors are experienced researchers who have published articles in hundreds of different scientific journals in fields including statistics, computer science, policy, public health, political science, economics, sociology, and engineering. They have also published articles in the Washington Post, New York Times, Slate, and other public venues. Their previous books include Bayesian Data Analysis, Teaching Statistics: A Bag of Tricks, and Data Analysis and Regression Using Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. Andrew Gelman is Higgins Professor of Statistics and Professor of Political Science at Columbia University. Jennifer Hill is Professor of Applied Statistics at New York University. Aki Vehtari is Associate Professor in Computational Probabilistic Modeling at Aalto University, Finland.

'Gelman, Hill and Vehtari provide an introductory regression book that hits an amazing trifecta: it motivates regression using real data examples, provides the necessary (but not superfluous) theory, and gives readers tools to implement these methods in their own work. The scope is ambitious - including introductions to causal inference and measurement - and the result is a book that I not only look forward to teaching from, but also keeping around as a reference for my own work.' Elizabeth Tipton, Northwestern University

• Preface; Part I. Fundamentals: 1. Overview; 2. Data and measurement; 3. Some basic methods in mathematics and probability; 4. Statistical inference; 5. Simulation; Part II. Linear Regression: 6. Background on regression modeling; 7. Linear regression with a single predictor; 8. Fitting regression models; 9. Prediction and Bayesian inference; 10. Linear regression with multiple predictors; 11. Assumptions, diagnostics, and model evaluation; 12. Transformations and regression; Part III. Generalized Linear Models: 13. Logistic regression; 14. Working with logistic regression; 15. Other generalized linear models; Part IV. Before and After Fitting a Regression: 16. Design and sample size decisions; 17. Poststratification and missing-data imputation; Part V. Causal Inference: 18. Causal inference and randomized experiments; 19. Causal inference using regression on the treatment variable; 20. Observational studies with all confounders assumed to be measured; 21. Additional topics in causal inference; Part VI. What Comes Next?: 22. Advanced regression and multilevel models; Appendices: A. Computing in R; B. 10 quick tips to improve your regression modelling; References; Author index; Subject index.