BRIAN BEAULIEU is an economist, principal and CEO with ITR Economics™ (ITR). At ITR®, Brian has been leading the charge in applied research regarding business cycle trend analysis and the utilization of that research at a practical business level. Brian consults with companies worldwide and has provided valuable insight to business owners and executives for 27 years with the result being increased profitability and greater awareness of business cycle opportunities.ALAN BEAULIEU is a principal and the President of ITR Economics ™. Alan is also the senior economic advisor to a variety of U.S. and European trade associations. He is the keynote speaker at corporate and trade association meetings worldwide where he provides a clear economics forecasts and proven profit-enhancing strategies to businesses across a wide spectrum of industries. Alan’s knowledge and expertise are in great demand, as evidenced by his extremely busy calendar that includes 120 speaking engagements a year.

• 1 Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future 1Where Not to Look 3Confidence Indicators 3Politics 8Federal Reserve Board (The U.S. Version of Central Banks in Other Countries) 9Newspapers and Media 15ITR Economics Forecast Accuracy 162 The Status Quo Never Was: Seven Major Trends and Assumptions That Won’t Last 21Unstoppable Trends That Suddenly Stopped 22Today’s Trends That Won’t Last Forever 31Stimulus Spending Is Needed and Helpful 343 Preparing for Prosperity—Good News for 2015 and 2016: Do You Have Enough? 37What Will 2015, 2016, and 2017 Look Like? 394 Depression Driver: Demographics 45More People, More Older People 47Show Me the Money 53Medicare and Social Security 58Managing to Win 61Probable Winners 65(Potential) Losers 665 A World That Doesn’t Remember Inflation: New Management and Investment Thought Processes Required 69Inflation’s Impacts 77Five Sources of Inflation 80Managing to Win 95Winners and Losers 101Appendix to Chapter 5 1026 Sovereign Debt—Harmless or Toxic? Not Just an American Problem 105A Global Perspective 106Summary 1147 A Closer Look at the United States: The U.S. Problem Becomes the World’s Problem 117Where Are We Now? 117Where Are We Going? 122State and Local Governments 125Spreading the Pain around the World 127Summary 1298 Business Growth Strategies and Tactics from Now through 2029 131Monthly Moving Totals (MMTs) 132Calculating Rate-of-Change 132Use the Metrics 1339 Offense and Defense: Strategies for the Upside of the Business Cycle 141Offense and Defense 141Conflicting Messages 142Don’t Delay 143Phase A Management Objectives 144Let the Good Times Roll 147Summary 15110 Playing Defense to Win: Enhancing Profits Even as the Economy Deteriorates 153Management Objectives 155The Rules Are Changing 167Summary 16811 Great Opportunities within the Stock Market: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know 169Energy Distribution 170Printed Electronics 171Mexico 172Water Conservation and Distribution 173Health Care 174Vocational Education 1763-D Printing 176Housing 177Security 177Natural Resources 178Food 179Entertainment 18012 Investing Based on Age and Trend 181Some Commonalities 181Different Markets—Different Times 185How Old Are You? 19213 How to Spot the Top (Before the Great Depression) 20114 What the Next Generation Needs to Know: Six Things the Next Generation Must Do 209What Owners and Managers Must Do 209Six Things Our Kids (and Businesses) Must Do 21115 Is There Hope? 215What Can Stave Off the Great Depression of 2030? 215A Different View of the 1930s 218A Different Future 218Summary 219Bibliography 221Index 223

BRIAN BEAULIEU is an economist, principal and CEO with ITR Economics™ (ITR). At ITR®, Brian has been leading the charge in applied research regarding business cycle trend analysis and the utilization of that research at a practical business level. Brian consults with companies worldwide and has provided valuable insight to business owners and executives for 27 years with the result being increased profitability and greater awareness of business cycle opportunities.ALAN BEAULIEU is a principal and the President of ITR Economics ™. Alan is also the senior economic advisor to a variety of U.S. and European trade associations. He is the keynote speaker at corporate and trade association meetings worldwide where he provides a clear economics forecasts and proven profit-enhancing strategies to businesses across a wide spectrum of industries. Alan’s knowledge and expertise are in great demand, as evidenced by his extremely busy calendar that includes 120 speaking engagements a year.

• 1 Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future 1Where Not to Look 3Confidence Indicators 3Politics 8Federal Reserve Board (The U.S. Version of Central Banks in Other Countries) 9Newspapers and Media 15ITR Economics Forecast Accuracy 162 The Status Quo Never Was: Seven Major Trends and Assumptions That Won’t Last 21Unstoppable Trends That Suddenly Stopped 22Today’s Trends That Won’t Last Forever 31Stimulus Spending Is Needed and Helpful 343 Preparing for Prosperity—Good News for 2015 and 2016: Do You Have Enough? 37What Will 2015, 2016, and 2017 Look Like? 394 Depression Driver: Demographics 45More People, More Older People 47Show Me the Money 53Medicare and Social Security 58Managing to Win 61Probable Winners 65(Potential) Losers 665 A World That Doesn’t Remember Inflation: New Management and Investment Thought Processes Required 69Inflation’s Impacts 77Five Sources of Inflation 80Managing to Win 95Winners and Losers 101Appendix to Chapter 5 1026 Sovereign Debt—Harmless or Toxic? Not Just an American Problem 105A Global Perspective 106Summary 1147 A Closer Look at the United States: The U.S. Problem Becomes the World’s Problem 117Where Are We Now? 117Where Are We Going? 122State and Local Governments 125Spreading the Pain around the World 127Summary 1298 Business Growth Strategies and Tactics from Now through 2029 131Monthly Moving Totals (MMTs) 132Calculating Rate-of-Change 132Use the Metrics 1339 Offense and Defense: Strategies for the Upside of the Business Cycle 141Offense and Defense 141Conflicting Messages 142Don’t Delay 143Phase A Management Objectives 144Let the Good Times Roll 147Summary 15110 Playing Defense to Win: Enhancing Profits Even as the Economy Deteriorates 153Management Objectives 155The Rules Are Changing 167Summary 16811 Great Opportunities within the Stock Market: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know 169Energy Distribution 170Printed Electronics 171Mexico 172Water Conservation and Distribution 173Health Care 174Vocational Education 1763-D Printing 176Housing 177Security 177Natural Resources 178Food 179Entertainment 18012 Investing Based on Age and Trend 181Some Commonalities 181Different Markets—Different Times 185How Old Are You? 19213 How to Spot the Top (Before the Great Depression) 20114 What the Next Generation Needs to Know: Six Things the Next Generation Must Do 209What Owners and Managers Must Do 209Six Things Our Kids (and Businesses) Must Do 21115 Is There Hope? 215What Can Stave Off the Great Depression of 2030? 215A Different View of the 1930s 218A Different Future 218Summary 219Bibliography 221Index 223

BRIAN BEAULIEU is an economist, principal and CEO with ITR Economics™ (ITR). At ITR®, Brian has been leading the charge in applied research regarding business cycle trend analysis and the utilization of that research at a practical business level. Brian consults with companies worldwide and has provided valuable insight to business owners and executives for 27 years with the result being increased profitability and greater awareness of business cycle opportunities.ALAN BEAULIEU is a principal and the President of ITR Economics ™. Alan is also the senior economic advisor to a variety of U.S. and European trade associations. He is the keynote speaker at corporate and trade association meetings worldwide where he provides a clear economics forecasts and proven profit-enhancing strategies to businesses across a wide spectrum of industries. Alan’s knowledge and expertise are in great demand, as evidenced by his extremely busy calendar that includes 120 speaking engagements a year.

• 1 Results That No One Can Ignore: You Can Successfully Prepare for an Unknown Future 1Where Not to Look 3Confidence Indicators 3Politics 8Federal Reserve Board (The U.S. Version of Central Banks in Other Countries) 9Newspapers and Media 15ITR Economics Forecast Accuracy 162 The Status Quo Never Was: Seven Major Trends and Assumptions That Won’t Last 21Unstoppable Trends That Suddenly Stopped 22Today’s Trends That Won’t Last Forever 31Stimulus Spending Is Needed and Helpful 343 Preparing for Prosperity—Good News for 2015 and 2016: Do You Have Enough? 37What Will 2015, 2016, and 2017 Look Like? 394 Depression Driver: Demographics 45More People, More Older People 47Show Me the Money 53Medicare and Social Security 58Managing to Win 61Probable Winners 65(Potential) Losers 665 A World That Doesn’t Remember Inflation: New Management and Investment Thought Processes Required 69Inflation’s Impacts 77Five Sources of Inflation 80Managing to Win 95Winners and Losers 101Appendix to Chapter 5 1026 Sovereign Debt—Harmless or Toxic? Not Just an American Problem 105A Global Perspective 106Summary 1147 A Closer Look at the United States: The U.S. Problem Becomes the World’s Problem 117Where Are We Now? 117Where Are We Going? 122State and Local Governments 125Spreading the Pain around the World 127Summary 1298 Business Growth Strategies and Tactics from Now through 2029 131Monthly Moving Totals (MMTs) 132Calculating Rate-of-Change 132Use the Metrics 1339 Offense and Defense: Strategies for the Upside of the Business Cycle 141Offense and Defense 141Conflicting Messages 142Don’t Delay 143Phase A Management Objectives 144Let the Good Times Roll 147Summary 15110 Playing Defense to Win: Enhancing Profits Even as the Economy Deteriorates 153Management Objectives 155The Rules Are Changing 167Summary 16811 Great Opportunities within the Stock Market: What Businesses and Individuals Need to Know 169Energy Distribution 170Printed Electronics 171Mexico 172Water Conservation and Distribution 173Health Care 174Vocational Education 1763-D Printing 176Housing 177Security 177Natural Resources 178Food 179Entertainment 18012 Investing Based on Age and Trend 181Some Commonalities 181Different Markets—Different Times 185How Old Are You? 19213 How to Spot the Top (Before the Great Depression) 20114 What the Next Generation Needs to Know: Six Things the Next Generation Must Do 209What Owners and Managers Must Do 209Six Things Our Kids (and Businesses) Must Do 21115 Is There Hope? 215What Can Stave Off the Great Depression of 2030? 215A Different View of the 1930s 218A Different Future 218Summary 219Bibliography 221Index 223