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    1. Samhälle och politik
    2. Krig och försvar

    War With Iran

    Political, Military, and Economic Consequences

    AvGeoffrey Kemp,John Allen Gay

    Inbunden, Engelska, 2013

    1 534 kr

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    Häftad

    771 kr

    E-bok

    832 kr

    Beskrivning

    War With Iran: Political, Military and Economic Consequences provides readers both a history of Iran’s relationship with the West and an expert’s estimation of what the political, human and financial costs of full-scale war with Iran might be. Authors Geoffrey Kemp and John Allen Gay of the Center for the National Interest utilize their years studying and informing America’s foreign policy in the Middle East to bring to life the possible outcomes of an American military intervention in Iran. Such a decision would not only have catastrophic consequences on the Persian Gulf, but would also endanger the whole world’s delicate economy by heightening instability in a fragile but resource-rich region. Written for anyone with an interest in the future of American foreign policy, War With Iran explores what every player has at stake in the current crisis by analyzing every tension adjacent to it; from America’s staunch support of Israel to Iran’s own dogged pursuit of advanced nuclear capabilities. Controversial, timely and thoroughly researched, this story stands as a preliminary caution against what would be a devastating meltdown of diplomacy, for which—if peace be the goal—there is always time.

    Produktinformation

    • Utgivningsdatum:2013-02-21
    • Mått:162 x 236 x 25 mm
    • Vikt:544 g
    • Format:Inbunden
    • Språk:Engelska
    • Antal sidor:264
    • Förlag:Bloomsbury Publishing Plc
    • ISBN:9781442221994

    Utforska kategorier

    • Krig och försvar inom Samhälle och politik
    • Politik och statsskick inom Samhälle och politik
    • Internationella relationer inom Samhälle och politik

    Mer om författaren

    John Allen Gay is assistant editor of The National Interest magazine.Geoffrey Kemp is the Director of Regional Strategic Programs at the Center for the National Interest. He has had a long career in academic and research communities, and was Special Assistant to President Reagan and Senior Director for the Near East and South Asia on the National Security Council staff..

    Innehållsförteckning

    • AcknowledgementsPrologueIntroductionIran’s Nuclear ProgramChapter 1: Positions of Primary ActorsIranKey Opponents to Iran’s Nuclear ProgramThe United StatesDirect RelationsIsraelGlobal OpponentsChapter 2: Choosing to AttackContext for a StrikeSurprise AttackWar EscalatesResponse to Nuclear ProvocationMerits and Risks of a StrikeExpert VoicesPolitical VoicesChapter 3: How an Attack Might WorkTargetingAn Israeli StrikeThe Central Route: Overflying IraqLogistics of an Israeli StrikeAn American StrikeBunker BustingIranian Air DefensesFollow-On StrikesImpact on Iran’s Nuclear ProgramAlternative Means of DestructionSabotageCommando RaidChapter 4: Iran’s RetaliationLebanese HezbollahIsraeli Natural Gas SitesIraq and AfghanistanGeneral TerrorismThe Strait of HormuzInsurgency in the GulfThe Missile ThreatOther Iranian Threats to OilChapter 5: Evolving Crisis, Challenging ExitMass RetaliationNonretaliationMiddle PathsAmerican Response and Cyclical ViolenceChapter 6: Regional OilGulf Oil: Iran’s RoleOil Prices and Iran’s EconomyChapter 7: Oil and WarRecent HistoryImpact of a Military Strike on IranImpact of an Attack on Iranian Oil FacilitiesIran’s Options Against Regional OilAction in the Strait of HormuzAttacking Arab Oil FacilitiesMobilizing the Saudi Shia PopulationUse of Weapons of Mass DestructionIraq and AzerbaijanChapter 8: Preparing for Oil DisruptionsMitigationRerouting Oil FlowsExcess CapacityAssurancePreparationExpanding ReservesPipeline PreparationRemoval of BottlenecksPreparing to Reduce DemandReadying the Refinery Network“Pre-Assuring” InvestorsChapter 9: Economic ConsequencesWider Economic FactorsGrowth Patterns and Oil MarketsOil Price Increases and Supply InterruptionOil Price Increases and Economic RecoveryThreats to the DollarAlternatives to the Dollar?HoweverImpacts in the Middle EastRegional ConflictsAmerican TradeThe Impact of the SanctionsConclusionsChapter 10: Conclusions: The Challenge of Getting Out, the Costs of Staying HomeExit Strategy for War with IranInternal Political ImpactsThe Cost of InactionConclusionsAppendicesBibliography