Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences

Häftad, Engelska, 2011

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Beskrivning

This project had its origins in discussions of social forecasts and forecasting method ologies initiated a few years ago by several social and natural science members of the Social Science Research Council's Committee on Social Indicators.

Produktinformation

Utgivningsdatum:2011-09-26
Mått:178 x 254 x 22 mm
Vikt:735 g
Format:Häftad
Språk:Engelska
Antal sidor:384
Förlag:Springer
ISBN:9789401082792

Utforska kategorier

Meteorologi och klimatologi inom Naturvetenskap och teknik

Innehållsförteckning

Forecasting in the Social and Natural Sciences: An Overview and Analysis of Isomorphisms.- I: Forecasting Contexts.- The Social Forecasting Industry.- Forecasts in Urban Transportation Planning: Uses, Methods, and Dilemmas.- Forecasting Errors: The Importance of the Decision-Making Context.- The Delphi Technique and Judgmental Forecasting.- II: Current Developments in Techniques and Models.- Econometric Forecasting: A Brief Survey of Current and Future Techniques.- A Survey of Census Bureau Population Projection Methods.- Forecasting Health Status Changes in an Aging U.S. Population: Assessment of the Current Status and some Proposals.- Recent Developments in Technological Forecasting.- III: Predictability, Forecast Errors, and Model Identification and Linkage.- The Predictability of Weather and Climate.- Errors in Forecasting Social Phenomena.- Forecasting the Impact of Climate on Food Systems: Model Testing and Model Linkage.- Modeling Economic-Demographic Linkages: A Study of National and Regional Models.- Scale Relationships in the Interactions of Climate, Ecosystems, and Societies.