Wiley Trader's Exchange – serie

A guide to the latest, most promising technical indicators andtheir applications Momentum, direction, and divergence are the three basic componentsof nearly all technical indicators used in the analysis of stockand commodities trading. And for those who understand them andtheir applications, they are also the pillars of a high-performancetrading strategy. In this groundbreaking book, technical wizardWilliam Blau schools financial professionals in all three.Combining the latest financial information with dozens ofeye-opening graphics, Blau clearly, concisely, and with a minimumof complex mathematics:* Introduces the principle of double smoothing and develops potentnew indicators based on double smoothing techniques* Describes the uses and limitations of a variety of notabletechnical indicators* Explains momentum, direction, and divergence and new ways toapply them* Presents the True Strength Index and shows how it candramatically improve most directional indicators* Provides new ways of identifying divergence that makeimplementation far simpler than ever before MOMENTUM, DIRECTION, AND DIVERGENCE The Wiley Trader's Advantage is a series of concise, highly focusedbooks designed to keep savvy traders in tune with the latestsuccessful strategies and techniques used by the keenest minds inthe business. In this latest volume, technical expert Bill Blau shows you howmomentum, direction, and divergence form the basis of mosttechnical indicators and how they can work for you to provide aconsiderable competitive advantage. Clearly, concisely, and with aminimum of complex mathematics, Blau shows you how to understandand apply them. Integrating the latest financial insights with morethan 75 easy-to-follow graphics, Blau describes the uses andlimitations of many of today's most notable technical indicators.He then demonstrates a variety of ways in which the principles ofmomentum, direction, and divergence can be used to create aversatile new set of technical indicators or to improve theeffectiveness of the most widely used traditional indicators. Focusing on the groundbreaking double smoothing concept, which heintroduces for the first time in this book, William Blau:* Develops reliable new momentum indicators based on doublesmoothing techniques* Shows how these indicators improve the effectiveness of mostpopular oscillators, including the RSI, MACD, and stochasticindicators, by solving a host of timing problems* Combines the standard Welles Wilder techniques with his originalTrue Strength Index to improve the effectiveness of mostdirectional movement indicators* Introduces new ways of identifying divergence that makeimplementation simpler than ever* And much more A complete guide to the most potent new indicators and theirapplications, Momentum, Direction, and Divergence is anindispensable resource for traders, portfolio managers, and allfinancial professionals.

The first comprehensive guide on maximum adverse excursion -- apowerful new tool for dramatically lessening trading risks "Trading successfully, like everything else, is built upon solidpreparation. It is the well-prepared individual who will be able tocope in today's competitive market. John Sweeney's Maximum AdverseExcursion will provide you with the steps to perform the analyticalreview of your trading system that you should undertake before youever risk your capital." -- Thomas Hartle, Editor TechnicalAnalysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine "Maximum Adverse Excursion deals with a much overlooked subject:how to minimize losses. If every trader took John Sweeney's adviceand learned how to minimize losses before trying to make profits,they would be financially ahead." -- Martin J. Pring, President TheInternational Institute for Economic Research "John Sweeney has done it again. As with Campaign Trading, he takesa complex set of ideas and explains them in a simple,easy-to-understand manner, in a form that traders can use to helpthem make informed and profitable buy-sell decisions." -- CliffordSherry, PhD, author The Mathematics of Technical Analysis Most successful traders have a "sixth sense" that alerts them toloss points and amounts. But what happens when intuitionfails? When the potential loss incurred on a trade is significant, youneed more than guesswork. But is it possible to estimate the losspoint accurately--quantitatively? With maximum adverse excursion(MAE), the answer is a resounding "YES". This innovative method ofrisk management enables traders to steer clear of potentiallydevastating results by pinpointing loss points before implementingtrading decisions. Now, in the first book to provide an in-depthexamination of this vital trading tool, John Sweeney, MAE developerand Technical Editor of the highly regarded Technical Analysis ofStocks & Commodities magazine, takes you step by step throughits various intricacies. In this comprehensive and accessible reference, Sweeney shows howthe key to successful MAE implementation lies in determiningwhether there is any consistency in market behavior. By measuringand charting price excursion from a set point of entry, you canestablish--quickly and easily--whether prices show consistentbehavior over a finite time frame. If, in fact, some regularity,some pattern in price changes is revealed, you can then exploit itwhile in the trade. The bottom line is a more reliable system fordiscerning whether your trade is going in your direction or not,and--in either case--what likely events are next. By replacingguesswork with statistical descriptions, you can objectivelydetermine when to cut off a loser, or put in a protective stop . .. or take profits. Maximum Adverse Excursion can give you "the elusive edge thattraders seek . . . a line all your own, from which profits can flowwith minimized, quantifiable risk." This comprehensive, accessiblereference gives you the tools you need to employ MAE successfully,including detailed information on:* Defining and calculating adverse, minimum, and maximum favorableexcursion (MinFE and MaxFE)* Displaying MAE--aggregation, frequency diagrams, stop size* Determining specific capital requirements--capital conservation,defining drawdowns* Profit definition by stop level--profit tradeoffs, profit curves,interpretation* Impact of volatility changes--tweaks, changing stops by range orvolatility* Trading management--portfolio impacts, day-to-day management,elaborations Complete with sample calculations, practical examples, and EXCELprograms for creating your own charts, this is the definitive guideto using MAE effectively--and profitably.

The first new book in a generation to focus on the practical applications of trading with oscillators Oscillators are an essential group of indicators that futures, options, and stock traders have embraced to reveal turning points in flat markets. In this pioneering book, Mark Etzkorn, Associate Editor of Futures magazine, comprehensively discusses the purposes and uses of such important oscillators as stochastic, momentum, Elder-Ray, Williams %R, among many others, then focuses on Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of today's most popular oscillators. Etzkorn reveals how RSI measures the internal strength of a security, how to calculate it, and how to use it to make better decisions about accepting or rejecting particular market signals. Moreover, he demonstrates how investors can adapt, modify, and apply RSI across different market conditions and time periods, and combine it with other indicators, including Contrary Application and Tom De Mark's concept of duration. MARK ETZKORN (Chicago, Illinois) is Senior Editor of Futures magazine, where he focuses on technical analysis and trading software. He has worked in the futures and options industry as a trader and broker at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and The Board of Trade Clearing Corporation.

The first complete guide to mastering the forecasting techniques essential for short-term trading success While a majority of trading systems incorporate only existing or past pricing activity into their simulations, the most successful ones use forecasting methods to establish future activity. Now, Ed Gately, a leading computerized trading systems developer, creates a groundbreaking approach to forecasting that includes setting price and time targets to anticipate future price movements-an essential step in reducing risk, increasing reaction time, and yielding greater returns. With detailed coverage of such important targeting techniques as Fibonacci numbers, Fibonacci ratios, and cycle analysis, as well as support/resistance, moving average and Raff channels, Bollinger bands, and trendlines, Forecasting Profits Using Price & Time enables you to integrate today's most accurate computerized forecasting models into your current system. Once in place, these techniques can be combined to obtain confirmation, thereby strengthening reliability. These key concepts for maximizing profits over short periods of time include:* Forecasting price movements of securities by using technical analysis.* Setting risk objectives and establishing stop loss levels.* Confirming change of trend with moving averages, candlesticks, and other methods of plotting price movement.* Using Fibonacci, Gann's, Carolan's, and other number series to target future prices and establish timing of future changes in trend. Detailed charts and graphs, as well as helpful models that can be used to test individual systems before engaging in actual trades, make this an indispensable resource for learning how to forecast accurately-and successfully.

For commodity traders and portfolio managers--a practical, hands-onguide to profiting in today's growing international cross ratemarkets. Cross rates trading is growing increasingly popular,fueled in no small part by banks and multinationals seekingcreative strategies for hedging currency risk and speculatorsseeking profits from interest rate plays and exchange rate moves.Trading Currency Cross Rates is the passkey to this vastlyprofitable financial sector. Written for the experienced tradermoving into the currency futures and foreign exchange cash markets,as well as for the corporate portfolio manager seeking to limitcompany exposure, this professional guide covers the fundamentalsof today's cross rates markets and delivers the step-by-steptechniques needed to trade cross rates successfully. Packed withcharts and tables that apply over a broad range of internationalmarkets and currencies, the guide:* Explains what cross rates are and profiles the different typesthat currently are traded* Shows whether to trade on an agency or principal basis, and howto avoid counterparty failure* Covers the building blocks of currency valuation and the bestmethods for forecasting moves in currency cross rates* Reveals how to profitably trade exotic cross rates amongcurrencies from the Pacific Rim and Middle East* Explains how to cross over to the growing interbank currencymarket, and which fundamental and technical analysis techniquesspecifically apply to it* Discusses how to easily adapt any current trading system and itsinput to the profitable cash marketsFeaturing the expertise of a leading cross rates trading expert ina concise, direct, accessible format, Trading Currency Cross Ratesis the dependable, single-source guide to trading cross ratessuccessfully.

A fresh look at classic principles and applications of Fibonacci numbers and the Elliott Wave trading system. Demonstrates how to calculate and predict key turning points in commodity markets, analyze business and economic cycles as well as identify profitable turning points in interest rate movement. Forty charts and tables show how to use this analysis on a daily, weekly or intra-day trading basis.