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Jean-Pierre Cabestan - Facing China, Häftad

Häftad, Engelska, 2023

Facing China

The Prospect for War and Peace

Av Jean-Pierre Cabestan

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Beskrivning
Jean-Pierre Cabestan, a China specialist based in Hong Kong, provides an overview of “Thucydides’ Trap,” as coined by political scientist Graham Allison to describe the inescapable conflict between Beijing and Washington. Is China’s growing power a threat to the United States? Could it lead to war between the two nations? Economically and militarily stronger, and more nationalist than ever, the People’s Republic of China is increasingly tempted to use force to assert its power, especially in its immediate region. First, the author considers the factors around the threat of war, specifically on the Chinese side, then presents the three most likely armed conflict scenarios: around Taiwan; in the South China Sea; or in the Senkaku Islands under Japanese control. Cabestan also analyses the tensions between China and India along their common borders, which were revived in 2020.But the most likely scenario, according to Cabestan, would be a rapid, piecemeal attack, aimed at tearing borders apart or defending vested interests – not to mention increased cyber warfare. It could also manifest itself as the emergence of a new type of cold war, punctuated by crises bordering on either a nuclear strike or the use of new weapons. U.S.-Chinese tensions and the many potential fronts on which they could elevate are a conflict-in-waiting which will weigh on the 21st century and dominate international life as China seeks to become entrenched as a dominant world power.
Produktinformation
  • Utgivningsdatum: 2023-05-03
  • Mått: 154 x 223 x 19 mm
  • Vikt: 367 g
  • Format: Häftad
  • Språk: Engelska
  • Antal sidor: 248
  • Förlag: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc
  • ISBN: 9781538169896
  • Översättare: N. Jayaram
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Jean-Pierre Cabestan is emeritus senior researcher at the French Center for Scientific Research, Paris, and emeritus professor of political science, department of government and international studies at Hong Kong Baptist University. He is also associate researcher at the Asia Centre, Paris and at the French Centre for Research on Contemporary China, Hong Kong. His main themes of research are Chinese politics and law, China’s foreign and security policies, China-Africa relations, China-Taiwan relations and Taiwanese politics. His most recent publications are China Tomorrow: Democracy or Dictatorship? (Rowman & Littlefield, 2019) and Demain la Chine: guerre ou paix? (China Tomorrow: War or Peace?, Gallimard, 2021), due to be published in English by Rowman & Littlefield in early 2023.

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What is the likelihood that the US will go to war with China soon? Cabestan’s volume starts and ends with the “Thucydides Trap,” assessing the relevance of the fifth-century (BC) war between Athens and Sparta to China's grand strategy as a rising power seeking to displace the hegemon, the US. Two chapters treat the rise of nationalism and military power in China and internal debates over the risks of war. Three chapters view probable scenarios of China-US conflict: over Taiwan, in the South China Sea, and over the Senkaku Islands. Another considers Sino-Indian border tensions and conflict on the Korean peninsula. Cabestan believes these flash points are not likely to erupt, given China’s reluctance to use force to solve territorial issues. More likely are continued “gray zone tactics” until the People’s Liberation Army can project force easily to nearby and distant targets. For the next decade or so, Cabestan predicts a “cold peace” between the US and China. His volume is among the best in the flurry of books discussing China-US struggles because of its skillful analysis of China-US conflict and attempted even-handedness in treating complex cases like Taiwan. Highly recommended. Advanced undergraduates through faculty; professionals; general readers.

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