Barry W. Poulson – författare

This book provides insight into the problems affecting both the United States and Mexico to improve not only economic relations between Mexico and the United States, but also social, cultural, and political relations. It deals the problems from both theoretical and practical viewpoints.

This book provides insight into the problems affecting both the United States and Mexico to improve not only economic relations between Mexico and the United States, but also social, cultural, and political relations. It deals the problems from both theoretical and practical viewpoints.

This book explores new fiscal rules introduced in OECD countries and the relevance of fiscal rules for the unique fiscal policies and institutions in the United States. The rules in different countries are compared, with a more in depth analysis of two countries with arguably the most successful fiscal rules—Switzerland and Sweden. The study compares the challenge of fiscal consolidation facing the U.S. with that in other OECD countries. The centerpiece of the study is analysis of fiscal rules using a dynamic simulation model. A Swiss style fiscal rule is compared to an alternative fiscal rule proposed by Representative Amash, H.J.Res 24.The authors propose a new fiscal rule designed for the unique fiscal institutions in the U.S. Dynamic scoring is used to measure the impact of different fiscal rules on the federal budget, economic growth, and revenue. The effectiveness of the different fiscal rules is analyzed with respect to several criteria. A major objective of the rules is fiscal stabilization in the long run to bring debt/GDP ratios below tolerance levels. The fiscal rules are also designed for budget stabilization in the medium term, such that deficits in periods of recession are offset by surplus revenue in periods of economic expansion. The concluding section of the study explores the political economy of enacting new fiscal rules in the U.S. The study proposes fundamental changes in budget process required for the proposed fiscal rule to be effective. The study concludes with a discussion of alternative routes to enacting new fiscal rules, and the prospects for new fiscal rules to be enacted in the U.S.

Restoring America’s Fiscal Constitution estimates the potential impact of new fiscal rules on the U.S. economy over the next two decades. The new rules would require a cyclically balanced budget and an expenditure limit. The study shows that over the forecast period, the budget could be balanced and the total debt-to-GDP ratio reduced to the 60 percent tolerance level under this scheme, but this fiscal consolidation can only be achieved using a combination of fiscal reforms that go far beyond what has been proposed by Congress and the President. The first chapter explores the theoretical foundations of a fiscal constitution. The orthodox public finance view of public debt is contrasted with a public choice perspective. This is followed by chapters surveying the new fiscal rules enacted in other countries to address debt issues. Several chapters provide a historical perspective on U.S. debt, including a critical appraisal of our fiscal rules. New laws are proposed to address the debt crisis, and a dynamic simulation model is used to estimate the impact of the proposed laws on the U.S. economy. The final section provides a roadmap for enacting the proposed constitutional and statutory fiscal rules.

As countries recover from the coronavirus pandemic, they are confronted with an even more challenging debt crisis. Xavier Debrun argues in the foreword that in deciding where we go from here that there is no longer a consensus regarding the optimum design and enforcement of fiscal rules. Rather we must address a series of questions and challenges to the conventional wisdom. This book provides an opportunity for scholars to explore these questions from an international perspective, with reference to European countries, and emerging nations as well as the United States.

As countries recover from the coronavirus pandemic, they are confronted with an even more challenging debt crisis. Xavier Debrun argues in the foreword that in deciding where we go from here that there is no longer a consensus regarding the optimum design and enforcement of fiscal rules. Rather we must address a series of questions and challenges to the conventional wisdom. This book provides an opportunity for scholars to explore these questions from an international perspective, with reference to European countries, and emerging nations as well as the United States.

Slowing economic growth and debt fatigue continue to hamper fiscal policy in the United States. The question is whether there is an alternative path to the one projected in CBO long term forecasts, and if so, how citizens can choose this alternative path. The experiences of Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland reveal that an alternative path of sustainable debt is possible, and that citizens in a democratic society are capable of choosing that path. This book explores the potential impact of Swiss-style fiscal rules on the U.S. budget and the economy over the next three decades. The dynamic simulation analysis reveals that with these fiscal rules in place, it is possible for the U.S. to stabilize and reduce debt to sustainable levels over the forecast period. The government must preserve policy credibility by demonstrating a commitment to meet the challenges of economic shocks. The recent economic crises have provided a learning experience, and the rules-based macroeconomic framework required for this new era may differ significantly from that of the past. With new fiscal rules in place, the U.S. can restore long term economic growth. However, empirical analysis reveals how difficult this challenge will be, and why the U.S. is likely to continue to experience debt fatigue.

Slowing economic growth and debt fatigue continue to hamper fiscal policy in the United States. The question is whether there is an alternative path to the one projected in CBO long term forecasts, and if so, how citizens can choose this alternative path. The experiences of Germany, Sweden, and Switzerland reveal that an alternative path of sustainable debt is possible, and that citizens in a democratic society are capable of choosing that path. This book explores the potential impact of Swiss-style fiscal rules on the U.S. budget and the economy over the next three decades. The dynamic simulation analysis reveals that with these fiscal rules in place, it is possible for the U.S. to stabilize and reduce debt to sustainable levels over the forecast period. The government must preserve policy credibility by demonstrating a commitment to meet the challenges of economic shocks. The recent economic crises have provided a learning experience, and the rules-based macroeconomic framework required for this new era may differ significantly from that of the past. With new fiscal rules in place, the U.S. can restore long term economic growth. However, empirical analysis reveals how difficult this challenge will be, and why the U.S. is likely to continue to experience debt fatigue.