Bruno de Finetti – författare

First issued in translation as a two-volume work in 1975, this classic book provides the first complete development of the theory of probability from a subjectivist viewpoint. It proceeds from a detailed discussion of the philosophical mathematical aspects to a detailed mathematical treatment of probability and statistics.

De Finetti''s theory of probability is one of the foundations of Bayesian theory. De Finetti stated that probability is nothing but a subjective analysis of the likelihood that something will happen and that that probability does not exist outside the mind. It is the rate at which a person is willing to bet on something happening. This view is directly opposed to the classicist/ frequentist view of the likelihood of a particular outcome of an event, which assumes that the same event could be identically repeated many times over, and the ''probability'' of a particular outcome has to do with the fraction of the time that outcome results from the repeated trials.

First issued in translation as a two-volume work in 1975, this classic book provides the first complete development of the theory of probability from a subjectivist viewpoint. It proceeds from a detailed discussion of the philosophical mathematical aspects to a detailed mathematical treatment of probability and statistics.

De Finetti''s theory of probability is one of the foundations of Bayesian theory. De Finetti stated that probability is nothing but a subjective analysis of the likelihood that something will happen and that that probability does not exist outside the mind. It is the rate at which a person is willing to bet on something happening. This view is directly opposed to the classicist/ frequentist view of the likelihood of a particular outcome of an event, which assumes that the same event could be identically repeated many times over, and the ''probability'' of a particular outcome has to do with the fraction of the time that outcome results from the repeated trials.

First issued in translation as a two-volume work in 1975, this classic book provides the first complete development of the theory of probability from a subjectivist viewpoint. It proceeds from a detailed discussion of the philosophical mathematical aspects to a detailed mathematical treatment of probability and statistics.De Finetti's theory of probability is one of the foundations of Bayesian theory. De Finetti stated that probability is nothing but a subjective analysis of the likelihood that something will happen and that that probability does not exist outside the mind. It is the rate at which a person is willing to bet on something happening. This view is directly opposed to the classicist/ frequentist view of the likelihood of a particular outcome of an event, which assumes that the same event could be identically repeated many times over, and the 'probability' of a particular outcome has to do with the fraction of the time that outcome results from the repeated trials.

Bruno de Finetti (1906-1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of "exchangeability" revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.

Bruno de Finetti gehört zu den wichtigsten Vertretern der sogenannten subjektiven Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie. Hier finden Sie die zusammenfassende Darstellung dieser Theorie auf ihrem neuesten Stand.

B.De Finetti: La probabilità e la statistica nei rapporti con l´induzione, secondo i diversi punti di vista.- L.J. Savage: La probabilità soggettiva nei problemi pratici della statistica.- L. Daboni: Sulle catene di Markoff.- S. Lombardini: Decisoni economiche in condizioni di incertezza.- A. Longo: La R.O. (Ricerca Operativa).

B.De Finetti: La probabilità e la statistica nei rapporti con l´induzione, secondo i diversi punti di vista.- L.J. Savage: La probabilità soggettiva nei problemi pratici della statistica.- L. Daboni: Sulle catene di Markoff.- S. Lombardini: Decisoni economiche in condizioni di incertezza.- A. Longo: La R.O. (Ricerca Operativa).

Preface by B. de Finetti.- G.Th. Guilbaud: Les équilibres dans les modèles économiques.-H.W. Kuhn: Locational problems and mathematical programming.- M. Morishima: The multi-sectoral theory of economic growth.- B. Martos, J. Kornai: Experiments in Hungary with industry-wide and economy wide programming.- A. Prekopa: Probability distribution problems concerning stochastic programming problems.- R. Frisch: General principles and mathematical techniques of macroeconomic programming.

Preface by B. de Finetti.- G.Th. Guilbaud: Les équilibres dans les modèles économiques.-H.W. Kuhn: Locational problems and mathematical programming.- M. Morishima: The multi-sectoral theory of economic growth.- B. Martos, J. Kornai: Experiments in Hungary with industry-wide and economy wide programming.- A. Prekopa: Probability distribution problems concerning stochastic programming problems.- R. Frisch: General principles and mathematical techniques of macroeconomic programming.

S.N. Afriat: Economic transformation.- M. Arcelli: Modelli aumentati e principio di corrispondenza nella metodologia di Andreas.- H. Kuhn: Some remarks on games of fair division.- H. Kuhn: On two theorems in international trade.- A.G. Papandreou: Theory, construction and empirical meaning in economics.

S.N. Afriat: Economic transformation.- M. Arcelli: Modelli aumentati e principio di corrispondenza nella metodologia di Andreas.- H. Kuhn: Some remarks on games of fair division.- H. Kuhn: On two theorems in international trade.- A.G. Papandreou: Theory, construction and empirical meaning in economics.