N. Limnios – författare

Presents thirty-one chapters that provide a survey of models and methods for reliability analysis and applications in science, engineering, and technology. This book contains coverage of the developments and innovative techniques in a range of theoretical and numerical issues in the field of statistical and probabilistic methods in reliability.

At first there was the Markov property. The theory of stochastic processes, which can be considered as an exten­ sion of probability theory, allows the modeling of the evolution of systems through the time. It cannot be properly understood just as pure mathemat­ ics, separated from the body of experience and examples that have brought it to life. The theory of stochastic processes entered a period of intensive develop­ ment, which is not finished yet, when the idea of the Markov property was brought in. Not even a serious study of the renewal processes is possible without using the strong tool of Markov processes. The modern theory of Markov processes has its origins in the studies by A. A: Markov (1856-1922) of sequences of experiments "connected in a chain" and in the attempts to describe mathematically the physical phenomenon known as Brownian mo­ tion. Later, many generalizations (in fact all kinds of weakenings of the Markov property) of Markov type stochastic processes were proposed. Some of them have led to new classes of stochastic processes and useful applications. Let us mention some of them: systems with complete connections [90, 91, 45, 86]; K-dependent Markov processes [44]; semi-Markov processes, and so forth. The semi-Markov processes generalize the renewal processes as well as the Markov jump processes and have numerous applications, especially in relia­ bility.

At first there was the Markov property. The theory of stochastic processes, which can be considered as an exten­ sion of probability theory, allows the modeling of the evolution of systems through the time. It cannot be properly understood just as pure mathemat­ ics, separated from the body of experience and examples that have brought it to life. The theory of stochastic processes entered a period of intensive develop­ ment, which is not finished yet, when the idea of the Markov property was brought in. Not even a serious study of the renewal processes is possible without using the strong tool of Markov processes. The modern theory of Markov processes has its origins in the studies by A. A: Markov (1856-1922) of sequences of experiments "connected in a chain" and in the attempts to describe mathematically the physical phenomenon known as Brownian mo­ tion. Later, many generalizations (in fact all kinds of weakenings of the Markov property) of Markov type stochastic processes were proposed. Some of them have led to new classes of stochastic processes and useful applications. Let us mention some of them: systems with complete connections [90, 91, 45, 86]; K-dependent Markov processes [44]; semi-Markov processes, and so forth. The semi-Markov processes generalize the renewal processes as well as the Markov jump processes and have numerous applications, especially in relia­ bility.

Conceiving reliablesystems is a strategic issue for any industrial society. Hence, reliability has become a discipline at the beginning of the Second World War. In fact, reliability is a field of reseach common to mathematics, operational research, informatics, graph theory, physics, and so forth. We are concerned here with the mathematical side of reliability, of which probability, statistics, and more specially stochastic processes theory constitute the natural basis. US army during the war, and later in the US Problems encountered by the and Soviet space programs, have led to an awarenessofthe need for reliabilityor more generaly for dependability (a general term covering reliability, availability, security, maintainability, etc.) of the systems. The paper by W. Weibull of 1938 on the strength of materials, leading to the distribution that later took his name, and the paper by B. Epstein and M. Sobel of 1951, initiating the use of the exponential distribution as the basic (and now most used) model for reliability, are the founding papers of the field. At this time, the systems were merely seen as black boxes. During the 1960s, they began to be considered as the result of the interaction of their elements. Appropriate methods were then developed, from Shannon''s work to the beautiful theory of coherent systems initiated by Z.W. Birnbaum, J.D.

At first there was the Markov property. The theory of stochastic processes, which can be considered as an exten­ sion of probability theory, allows the modeling of the evolution of systems through the time. It cannot be properly understood just as pure mathemat­ ics, separated from the body of experience and examples that have brought it to life. The theory of stochastic processes entered a period of intensive develop­ ment, which is not finished yet, when the idea of the Markov property was brought in. Not even a serious study of the renewal processes is possible without using the strong tool of Markov processes. The modern theory of Markov processes has its origins in the studies by A. A: Markov (1856-1922) of sequences of experiments "connected in a chain" and in the attempts to describe mathematically the physical phenomenon known as Brownian mo­ tion. Later, many generalizations (in fact all kinds of weakenings of the Markov property) of Markov type stochastic processes were proposed. Some of them have led to new classes of stochastic processes and useful applications. Let us mention some of them: systems with complete connections [90, 91, 45, 86]; K-dependent Markov processes [44]; semi-Markov processes, and so forth. The semi-Markov processes generalize the renewal processes as well as the Markov jump processes and have numerous applications, especially in relia­ bility.