Osvaldo Martin – författare

Unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework

About This Book

Simplify the Bayes process for solving complex statistical problems using Python;Tutorial guide that will take the you through the journey of Bayesian analysis with the help of sample problems and practice exercises;Learn how and when to use Bayesian analysis in your applications with this guide.

Who This Book Is For

Students, researchers and data scientists who wish to learn Bayesian data analysis with Python and implement probabilistic models in their day to day projects. Programming experience with Python is essential. No previous statistical knowledge is assumed.

What You Will Learn

Understand the essentials Bayesian concepts from a practical point of viewLearn how to build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3Acquire the skills to sanity-check your models and modify them if necessaryAdd structure to your models and get the advantages of hierarchical modelsFind out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questionsWhen in doubt, learn to choose between alternative models.Predict continuous target outcomes using regression analysis or assign classes using logistic and softmax regression.Learn how to think probabilistically and unleash the power and flexibility of the Bayesian framework

In Detail

The purpose of this book is to teach the main concepts of Bayesian data analysis. We will learn how to effectively use PyMC3, a Python library for probabilistic programming, to perform Bayesian parameter estimation, to check models and validate them. This book begins presenting the key concepts of the Bayesian framework and the main advantages of this approach from a practical point of view. Moving on, we will explore the power and flexibility of generalized linear models and how to adapt them to a wide array of problems, including regression and classification. We will also look into mixture models and clustering data, and we will finish with advanced topics like non-parametrics models and Gaussian processes. With the help of Python and PyMC3 you will learn to implement, check and expand Bayesian models to solve data analysis problems.

Style and approach

Bayes algorithms are widely used in statistics, machine learning, artificial intelligence, and data mining. This will be a practical guide allowing the readers to use Bayesian methods for statistical modelling and analysis using Python.

Bayesian modeling with PyMC3 and exploratory analysis of Bayesian models with ArviZ Key FeaturesA step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZA modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modelingA tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises.Book DescriptionThe second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models.The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others. By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to.What you will learnBuild probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZAcquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessaryUnderstand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical modelsFind out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questionsCompare models and choose between alternative onesDiscover how different models are unified from a probabilistic perspectiveThink probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian frameworkWho this book is forIf you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected.

Bayesian modeling with PyMC3 and exploratory analysis of Bayesian models with ArviZ

Key Features

A step-by-step guide to conduct Bayesian data analyses using PyMC3 and ArviZA modern, practical and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modelingA tutorial for Bayesian analysis and best practices with the help of sample problems and practice exercises.

Book Description

The second edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python is an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian inference and its practical implementation in Python using PyMC3, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and ArviZ, a new library for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models.

The main concepts of Bayesian statistics are covered using a practical and computational approach. Synthetic and real data sets are used to introduce several types of models, such as generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, hierarchical models, and Gaussian processes, among others.

By the end of the book, you will have a working knowledge of probabilistic modeling and you will be able to design and implement Bayesian models for your own data science problems. After reading the book you will be better prepared to delve into more advanced material or specialized statistical modeling if you need to.

What you will learn

Build probabilistic models using the Python library PyMC3 Analyze probabilistic models with the help of ArviZ Acquire the skills required to sanity check models and modify them if necessary Understand the advantages and caveats of hierarchical modelsFind out how different models can be used to answer different data analysis questionsCompare models and choose between alternative onesDiscover how different models are unified from a probabilistic perspective Think probabilistically and benefit from the flexibility of the Bayesian framework

Who this book is for

If you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or a developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and NumPy is expected.

Learn the fundamentals of Bayesian modeling using state-of-the-art Python libraries, such as PyMC, ArviZ, Bambi, and more, guided by an experienced Bayesian modeler who contributes to these libraries.Free with your book: DRM-free PDF version + access to Packt's next-gen Reader*Key FeaturesConduct Bayesian data analysis with step-by-step guidanceGain insight into a modern, practical, and computational approach to Bayesian statistical modelingEnhance your learning with best practices through sample problems and practice exercisesPurchase of the print or Kindle book includes a free PDF eBook.Book DescriptionThe third edition of Bayesian Analysis with Python serves as an introduction to the main concepts of applied Bayesian modeling using PyMC, a state-of-the-art probabilistic programming library, and other libraries that support and facilitate modeling like ArviZ, for exploratory analysis of Bayesian models; Bambi, for flexible and easy hierarchical linear modeling; PreliZ, for prior elicitation; PyMC-BART, for flexible non-parametric regression; and Kulprit, for variable selection.In this updated edition, a brief and conceptual introduction to probability theory enhances your learning journey by introducing new topics like Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), featuring updated examples. Refined explanations, informed by feedback and experience from previous editions, underscore the book's emphasis on Bayesian statistics. You will explore various models, including hierarchical models, generalized linear models for regression and classification, mixture models, Gaussian processes, and BART, using synthetic and real datasets.By the end of this book, you’ll understand probabilistic modeling and be able to design and implement Bayesian models for data science, with a strong foundation for more advanced study.*Email sign-up and proof of purchase requiredWhat you will learnBuild probabilistic models using PyMC and BambiAnalyze and interpret probabilistic models with ArviZAcquire the skills to sanity-check models and modify them if necessaryBuild better models with prior and posterior predictive checksLearn the advantages and caveats of hierarchical modelsCompare models and choose between alternative onesInterpret results and apply your knowledge to real-world problemsExplore common models from a unified probabilistic perspectiveApply the Bayesian framework's flexibility for probabilistic thinkingWho this book is forIf you are a student, data scientist, researcher, or developer looking to get started with Bayesian data analysis and probabilistic programming, this book is for you. The book is introductory, so no previous statistical knowledge is required, although some experience in using Python and scientific libraries like NumPy is expected.

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