Ray C. Fair – författare

An empirical approach to constructing macroeconomic models.Macroeconomic Modeling presents an empirically based approach to the construction of macroeconomic models—the Cowles Commission approach—as a response to the backlash that has taken place since the late 1970s to this methodology. The emphasis in the literature has been on tightly specified theoretical models, which lack realism. In this book, Ray C. Fair develops models to analyze a variety of issues and events in macroeconomics and the US economy, and he explains the econometric techniques needed to estimate those models. Many of the results are either contrary to results from the theoretical models or cannot be examined by the theoretical models because they omit many important features of the economy.Fair covers a broad range of topics, including inflation and unemployment, the size of wealth effects, the behavior of the Federal Reserve and its effects on the economy, the effects of fiscal policy, Okun’s law, and contractions and expansions. Macroeconomic Modeling will appeal equally to graduate students and researchers as well as macroeconomic policy makers.

Macroeconomics tries to describe and explain the economywide movement of prices, output, and unemployment. The field has been sharply divided among various schools, including Keynesian, monetarist, new classical, and others. It has also been split between theorists and empiricists. Ray Fair is a resolute empiricist, developing and refining methods for testing theories and models. The field cannot advance without the discipline of testing how well the models approximate the data. Using a multicountry econometric model, he examines several important questions, including what causes inflation, how monetary authorities behave and what are their stabilization limits, how large is the wealth effect on aggregate consumption, whether European monetary policy has been too restrictive, and how large are the stabilization costs to Europe of adopting the euro. He finds, among other things, little evidence for the rational expectations hypothesis and for the so-called non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) hypothesis. He also shows that the U.S. economy in the last half of the 1990s was not a "new age" economy.

This book gives a practical, applications-oriented account of the latest techniques for estimating and analyzing large, nonlinear macroeconomic models. Ray Fair demonstrates the application of these techniques in a detailed presentation of several actual models, including his United States model, his multicountry model, Sargent's classical macroeconomic model, autoregressive and vector autoregressive models, and a small (twelve equation) linear structural model. He devotes a good deal of attention to the difficult and often neglected problem of moving from theoretical to econometric models. In addition, he provides an extensive discussion of optimal control techniques and methods for estimating and analyzing rational expectations models.A computer program that handles all the techniques in the book is available from the author, making it possible to use the techniques with little additional programming. The book presents the logic of this program. A smaller program for personal microcomputers for analysis of Fair's United States model is available from Urban Systems Research & Engineering, Inc. Anyone wanting to learn how to use large macroeconomic models, including researchers, graduate students, economic forecasters, and people in business and government both in the United States and abroad, will find this an essential guidebook.

For two-semester courses in the principles of economics. An introduction to the functioning of the economy and the power and breadth of economics Reviewers tell us that Case/Fair/Oster is one of the all-time bestselling principles of economics texts because they trust it to be clear, thorough, and complete. Readers of Principles of Economics, 13th Edition come away with a basic understanding of how market economies function, an appreciation for the things they do well, and a sense of things they do poorly. With the latest research and added exercises, students begin to learn the art and science of economic thinking and start to look at some policy, and even personal decisions, in a different way.

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For one-semester courses in the principles of microeconomics. An introduction to the functioning of the economy and the power and breadth of economics Reviewers tell us that Case/Fair/Oster is one of the all-time bestselling principles of economics texts because they trust it to be clear, thorough, and complete. Readers of Principles of Microeconomics, 13th Edition, Global Edition come away with a basic understanding of how market economies function, an appreciation for the things they do well, and a sense of things they do poorly. With the latest research and added exercises, students begin to learn the art and science of economic thinking and start to look at some policy, and even personal decisions, in a different way.

The full text downloaded to your computer

With eBooks you can:

search for key concepts, words and phrases make highlights and notes as you study share your notes with friends

eBooks are downloaded to your computer and accessible either offline through the Bookshelf (available as a free download), available online and also via the iPad and Android apps.

Upon purchase, you''ll gain instant access to this eBook.

Time limit

The eBooks products do not have an expiry date. You will continue to access your digital ebook products whilst you have your Bookshelf installed.

All-time bestselling Principles of Economics is trusted for its clear, thorough and complete coverage of how market economies function. Covering both macro- and microeconomics perspectives, it balances economic theory, institutional material and real-world examples, with emphasis on the art and science of economic thinking. The 14th Edition features streamlined chapters, revised problems and all-new macro data through 2023. It adds 23 new Economics in Practice boxes with recent research and analysis, such as the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on supply chains. In MyLab, new Economics in Practice videos featuring Emily Oster make economics relevant and relatable, while equipping you for success.

For principles of microeconomics courses. All-time best-selling principles of microeconomics title Principles of Microeconomics is trusted for its clear, thorough and complete coverage of how market economies function. Built on comprehensive microeconomics models, it balances economic theory, institutional material and real-world examples, with emphasis on the art and science of economic thinking. The 14th Edition features streamlined chapters and many revised end-of-chapter problems. It adds 20 new Economics in Practice boxes with recent research and analysis. In MyLab, new assignable Economics in Practice videos featuring Emily Oster make economics relevant and relatable for students.