Ryan Martin - Böcker

A New Approach to Sound Statistical ReasoningInferential Models: Reasoning with Uncertainty introduces the authors’ recently developed approach to inference: the inferential model (IM) framework. This logical framework for exact probabilistic inference does not require the user to input prior information. The authors show how an IM produces meaningful prior-free probabilistic inference at a high level.The book covers the foundational motivations for this new IM approach, the basic theory behind its calibration properties, a number of important applications, and new directions for research. It discusses alternative, meaningful probabilistic interpretations of some common inferential summaries, such as p-values. It also constructs posterior probabilistic inferential summaries without a prior and Bayes’ formula and offers insight on the interesting and challenging problems of conditional and marginal inference. This book delves into statistical inference at a foundational level, addressing what the goals of statistical inference should be. It explores a new way of thinking compared to existing schools of thought on statistical inference and encourages you to think carefully about the correct approach to scientific inference.

A New Approach to Sound Statistical ReasoningInferential Models: Reasoning with Uncertainty introduces the authors’ recently developed approach to inference: the inferential model (IM) framework. This logical framework for exact probabilistic inference does not require the user to input prior information. The authors show how an IM produces meaningful prior-free probabilistic inference at a high level.The book covers the foundational motivations for this new IM approach, the basic theory behind its calibration properties, a number of important applications, and new directions for research. It discusses alternative, meaningful probabilistic interpretations of some common inferential summaries, such as p-values. It also constructs posterior probabilistic inferential summaries without a prior and Bayes’ formula and offers insight on the interesting and challenging problems of conditional and marginal inference. This book delves into statistical inference at a foundational level, addressing what the goals of statistical inference should be. It explores a new way of thinking compared to existing schools of thought on statistical inference and encourages you to think carefully about the correct approach to scientific inference.

Master your emotions and learn to be happy through 50 science-backed and highly accessible strategies from The Anger Professor Dr Ryan Martin.The Anger Professor Dr Ryan Martin shares easy research-driven hacks to help you manage your emotions and improve your day-to-day life. His goal is to show that small changes to lifestyle, diet, sleep and ways of thinking will create real and beneficial changes in the way you experience fear, sadness, anger, happiness and the other emotions. This step-by-step guide to great emotional management will enable you to:Understand the science of emotions - to enable you to hack them.Interpret emotions as signals that guide behaviour and decision-making.Learn how emotions develop in stages - 1. the stimulus; 2. your pre-existing mood; 3. your appraisal; 4. feelings; 5. actions - so you can intervene.Manage other people's emotions.Deploy 50 easy and effective emotion hacks that will enable you to deal with any challenging situation, eg Identify Your Patterns, Avoid Catastrophizing, Pay Attention to Self-directed "Shoulds", Refocus Positively - and many more!Rooted in psychological research and everyday experience, How to Feel Better Fast will enable you to work with the science of happiness. It's all about establishing healthy emotional habits: small changes that will lead to seismic changes in your state of mind.