Stefan Bergheim – författare & böcker

Futures - Open to Variety

A manual for the wise use of the later-than-now

AvStefan Bergheim

Häftad, Engelska, 2021

226 kr

Skickas inom 5-8 vardagar

Long-Run Growth Forecasting

AvStefan Bergheim

Inbunden, Engelska, 2008

1 125 kr

Skickas inom 10-15 vardagar

This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap between the high demand for such models by commercial banks, international organizations, central banks and governments on the one hand and the limited supply on the other hand. Frequent forecast failures in the past (e.g. Japan 1990, Asia 1997) and the heavy economic losses they produced motivated the work. The book assesses the large number of different theories of economic growth, the drivers of economic growth, the available datasets and the empirical methods on offer. A preference is shown for evolutionary models and an augmented Kaldor model. The book uses non-stationary panel techniques to find pair-wise cointegration among GDP per capita and its main correlates such as physical capital, human capital and openness. GDP forecasts for the years 2006 to 2020 for 40 countries are derived in a transparent way.

Long-Run Growth Forecasting

AvStefan Bergheim

E-bok

PDF, Engelska, 2008

1 408 kr

Läs direkt efter köp

This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap between the high demand for such models by commercial banks, international organizations, central banks and governments on the one hand and the limited supply on the other hand. Frequent forecast failures in the past (e.g. Japan 1990, Asia 1997) and the heavy economic losses they produced motivated the work. The book assesses the large number of different theories of economic growth, the drivers of economic growth, the available datasets and the empirical methods on offer. A preference is shown for evolutionary models and an augmented Kaldor model. The book uses non-stationary panel techniques to find pair-wise cointegration among GDP per capita and its main correlates such as physical capital, human capital and openness. GDP forecasts for the years 2006 to 2020 for 40 countries are derived in a transparent way.

Long-Run Growth Forecasting

AvStefan Bergheim

Häftad, Engelska, 2010

1 125 kr

Skickas inom 10-15 vardagar

This book explores how to set up an empirical model that helps with forecasting long-term economic growth in a large number of countries. It offers a systematic approach to models of potential GDP that can also be used for forecasts of more than a decade. It is an attempt to fill the wide gap between the high demand for such models by commercial banks, international organizations, central banks and governments on the one hand and the limited supply on the other hand. Frequent forecast failures in the past (e.g. Japan 1990, Asia 1997) and the heavy economic losses they produced motivated the work. The book assesses the large number of different theories of economic growth, the drivers of economic growth, the available datasets and the empirical methods on offer. A preference is shown for evolutionary models and an augmented Kaldor model. The book uses non-stationary panel techniques to find pair-wise cointegration among GDP per capita and its main correlates such as physical capital, human capital and openness. GDP forecasts for the years 2006 to 2020 for 40 countries are derived in a transparent way.

Zukünfte – Offen für Vielfalt

Das Handbuch für den klugen Umgang mit dem Später

AvStefan Bergheim

E-bok

Tyska, 2020

161 kr

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Zukünfte – Offen für Vielfalt ist das leicht lesbare Handbuch für den klugen Umgang mit dem Später. Es will Ihnen Lust auf eigene Zukunftsarbeit machen und bietet viele konkrete Anregungen dafür. Das Buch stellt neue Methoden der Zukünftebildung erstmals in deutscher Sprache dar und lässt Sie an den praktischen Erfahrungen des Autors aus seinen vielen Projekten teilhaben. Aussagekräftige Illustrationen und persönliche Begegnungen begleiten Ihren Weg zu mehr Zukünftekompetenz.Inhaltsverzeichnis:Einleitung: Zukünfte in den Blick nehmen1. Miteinander reden – der Dialog2. Kraftvolle Fragen stellen3. Der Komplexität gerecht werden4. Viele unterschiedliche Menschen einbinden5. Verschiedene Systeme berücksichtigen6. Der Trend ist nur manchmal dein Freund7. Szenarien öffnen das Denken8. Visionen: Bilder wünschenswerter Zukünfte9. Wo wir stehen: Indikatoren10. Eine gemeinsame Zukunft suchen11. Mehrere Ebenen in den Blick nehmen12. Neues aus dem Zukünftelabor13. Wertschätzend erkunden14. Zukünfte spielerisch entdecken15. Digitale Zukunftswerkzeuge16. Zukunftsdialog der Bundeskanzlerin17. Zukünfte von Städten18. Regierungsstrategie "Gut leben in Deutschland"19. Digitalisierung gestalten #gutlebendigitalAusblick: Zukünftebildung stärken

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Stefan Bergheim – författare

Futures - Open to Variety

Long-Run Growth Forecasting

Long-Run Growth Forecasting

Long-Run Growth Forecasting

Zukünfte – Offen für Vielfalt

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