Tom Britton - Böcker

This book describes stochastic epidemic models and methods for statistically analyzing them. It is aimed at statisticians, biostatisticians, and biomathematicians.

Mathematical modeling is critical to our understanding of how infectious diseases spread at the individual and population levels. This book gives readers the necessary skills to correctly formulate and analyze mathematical models in infectious disease epidemiology, and is the first treatment of the subject to integrate deterministic and stochastic models and methods. Mathematical Tools for Understanding Infectious Disease Dynamics fully explains how to translate biological assumptions into mathematics to construct useful and consistent models, and how to use the biological interpretation and mathematical reasoning to analyze these models. It shows how to relate models to data through statistical inference, and how to gain important insights into infectious disease dynamics by translating mathematical results back to biology. This comprehensive and accessible book also features numerous detailed exercises throughout; full elaborations to all exercises are provided.* Covers the latest research in mathematical modeling of infectious disease epidemiology * Integrates deterministic and stochastic approaches * Teaches skills in model construction, analysis, inference, and interpretation * Features numerous exercises and their detailed elaborations * Motivated by real-world applications throughout

Focussing on stochastic models for the spread of infectious diseases in a human population, this book is the outcome of a two-week ICPAM/CIMPA school on "Stochastic models of epidemics" which took place in Ziguinchor, Senegal, December 5–16, 2015.

Boken är skriven för blivande lärare och vänder sig speciellt till studenter på lärarprogrammet med matematik somhuvudämne och med inriktning på grundskolans senare år eller på gymnasieskolan.I boken är sannolikhetslära, principerna för statistisk slutledningsförmåga samt planering av statistiska undersökningar och grafisk illustration av desamma.Boken innehåller en mängd lösta exempel och övningar med facit, varav många lämpar sig att användas i skolundervisningen.