The Signal and the Noise (häftad)
Format
Häftad (Paperback / softback)
Språk
Engelska
Antal sidor
544
Utgivningsdatum
2013-04-18
Förlag
Penguin Books Ltd
Originalspråk
English
Dimensioner
195 x 125 x 25 mm
Vikt
374 g
Komponenter
,
ISBN
9780141975658
The Signal and the Noise (häftad)

The Signal and the Noise

The Art and Science of Prediction

(2 röster)
Häftad Engelska, 2013-04-18
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The International Bestseller by 'The Galileo of number crunchers' (Independent) Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. The rise of 'big data' has the potential to help us predict the future, yet much of it is misleading, useless or distracting. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can all learn to detect the true signals amid a noise of data. 'Remarkable and rewarding' Matthew D'Ancona, Sunday Telegraph 'A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically' Guardian
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Recensioner i media

A 34-year old Delphic Oracle * Daily Beast * The Galileo of number crunchers * Independent * A surprisingly accessible peek into the world of mathematical probability -- Daily Telegraph Fascinating... our age's Brunel -- Bryan Appleyard * Sunday Times * Is there anything now that Nate Silver could tell us that we wouldn't believe? * Jonathan Freedland * The inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading The Signal and the Noise... They will find the book remarkable and rewarding * Sunday Telegraph * A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically * Guardian * One of the more momentous books of the decade * The New York Times Book Review * Outstanding... I was hooked -- Tim Harford * Financial Times *

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Övrig information

Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.