Completing the Forecast

Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate Forecasts

650 kr

Beställningsvara. Skickas inom 3-6 vardagar. Fri frakt över 249 kr.

Beskrivning

Uncertainty is a fundamental characteristic of weather, seasonal climate, and hydrological prediction, and no forecast is complete without a description of its uncertainty. Effective communication of uncertainty helps people better understand the likelihood of a particular event and improves their ability to make decisions based on the forecast. Nonetheless, for decades, users of these forecasts have been conditioned to receive incomplete information about uncertainty. They have become used to single-valued (deterministic) forecasts (e.g., "the high temperature will be 70 degrees Farenheit 9 days from now") and applied their own experience in determining how much confidence to place in the forecast. Most forecast products from the public and private sectors, including those from the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administrationa (TM)s National Weather Service, continue this deterministic legacy. Fortunately, the National Weather Service and others in the prediction community have recognized the need to view uncertainty as a fundamental part of forecasts.By partnering with other segments of the community to understand user needs, generate relevant and rich informational products, and utilize effective communication vehicles, the National Weather Service can take a leading role in the transition to widespread, effective incorporation of uncertainty information into predictions. "Completing the Forecast" makes recommendations to the National Weather Service and the broader prediction community on how to make this transition.

Produktinformation

Utforska kategorier

Mer om författaren

Recensioner i media

Innehållsförteckning

Hoppa över listan

Mer från samma författare

National Research Council, Institute of Medicine, and Families Board on Children, Youth, Food and Nutrition Board, Committee to Reexamine IOM Pregnancy Weight Guidelines, Ann L. Yaktine, Kathleen M. Rasmussen - Weight Gain During Pregnancy, Inbunden

Weight Gain During Pregnancy

National Research Council, Institute of Medicine, and Families Board on Children, Youth, Food and Nutrition Board, Committee to Reexamine IOM Pregnancy Weight Guidelines, Ann L. Yaktine, Kathleen M. Rasmussen

Inbunden, 2009

783 kr

Mathematics Learning Study Committee, Center for Education, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council, Jeremy Kilpatrick, Jane Swafford, Bradford Findell - Adding It Up, E-bok

Adding It Up

Mathematics Learning Study Committee, Center for Education, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council, Jeremy Kilpatrick, Jane Swafford, Bradford Findell

E-bok
2001

659 kr

Mathematics Learning Study Committee, Center for Education, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council, Jeremy Kilpatrick, Jane Swafford, Bradford Findell - Adding It Up, E-bok

Adding It Up

Mathematics Learning Study Committee, Center for Education, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council, Jeremy Kilpatrick, Jane Swafford, Bradford Findell

E-bok
2001

442 kr

National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, Standing Committee on Risk Analysis Issues and Reviews, Ellen Mantus - Toxicity-Pathway-Based Risk Assessment, Häftad

Toxicity-Pathway-Based Risk Assessment

National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Environmental Studies and Toxicology, Standing Committee on Risk Analysis Issues and Reviews, Ellen Mantus

Häftad, 2010

646 kr

National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Center for Education, Board on Testing and Assessment, Committee on the Foundations of Assessment, Robert Glaser, Naomi Chudowsky, James W. Pellegrino - Knowing What Students Know, Häftad

Knowing What Students Know

National Research Council, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, Center for Education, Board on Testing and Assessment, Committee on the Foundations of Assessment, Robert Glaser, Naomi Chudowsky, James W. Pellegrino

Häftad, 2001

721 kr

Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council, Elinor Ostrom, Thomas Dietz, Nives Dolšak, Paul C. Stern, Susan Stonich, Elke U. Weber - Drama of the Commons, E-bok

Drama of the Commons

Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council, Elinor Ostrom, Thomas Dietz, Nives Dolšak, Paul C. Stern, Susan Stonich, Elke U. Weber

E-bok
2002

604 kr

National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Life Sciences, Committee on New Directions in the Study of Antimicrobial Therapeutics: Immunomodulation, Committee on New Directions in the Study of Antimicrobial Therapeutics: New Classes of Antimicrobials - Treating Infectious Diseases in a Microbial World, Häftad

Treating Infectious Diseases in a Microbial World

National Research Council, Division on Earth and Life Studies, Board on Life Sciences, Committee on New Directions in the Study of Antimicrobial Therapeutics: Immunomodulation, Committee on New Directions in the Study of Antimicrobial Therapeutics: New Classes of Antimicrobials

Häftad, 2006

611 kr

Hoppa över listan

Du kanske också är intresserad av

Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council - Completing the Forecast, E-bok

Completing the Forecast

Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council

E-bok
2006

411 kr

Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council - Completing the Forecast, E-bok

Completing the Forecast

Committee on Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty in Weather and Climate Forecasts, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council

E-bok
2006

593 kr

Peter Englund - Om att misslyckas, Inbunden
  • -17%

Om att misslyckas

Peter Englund

Inbunden, 2026

4,0 utav 5 stjärnor. Totalt antal röster:(16)

199 kr239 kr

Karolina Ramqvist - Nattsäsong, Inbunden
  • -19%

Nattsäsong

Karolina Ramqvist

Inbunden, 2026

215 kr265 kr