telberg /f Mark /i J. /r ed./b MARK J. EITELBERG is a nationally recognized authority on military manpower policy./e He is currently Associate Professor of Public Administration at the Naval Postgradudate School in Monterey, California. Dr. Eitelberg is the author and co-author of several dozen publications, and his work is widely cited in the defense literature. For the past 18 years, his research and writing have focused on issues related to population participation in the American military. ay /f Stephen /i L. /r ed./b STEPHEN L. MEHAY is Professor of Economics in the Department of Administrative Sciences, Naval Postgraduate School./e Dr. Mehay has published over 20 journal articles and two books. His contributions span a number of different fields, including public finance, public choice, regional economics and military man-power economics. Dr. Mehay serves on the editorial board of Defence Economics.

• Preface Introduction Framing the Future Domestic Trends to the Year 2015: Forecasts from the Army 21 Study by David L. Osborne Military Strategies and Force Structure by Sam C. Sarkesian Trends and Future Directions in Youth Labor Markets: Implications for Army Recruiting by Jacob Alex Klerman and Lynn A. Karoly Changing Demographics The Demographic Context of Army Family Support Policy by Peter A. Morrison Test Score Trends and the Recruit Quality Queue by Linda L. Kageff and Janice H. Laurence Immigrants and the U.S. Military: History and Prospects by Michael J. Greenwood The Social and Political Context American Society and the Military in the Post-Cold War Era by Robert L. Goldich Recruitment and Society after the Cold War by Charles C. Moskos Change in the All-Volunteer Force: Reflections in Youth Attitudes by David R. Segal and Jerald G. Bachman Manpower Issues for the Future Military Military Technology and Army Manpower: Do Smart Weapons Require Smart Soldiers? by Martin Binkin A Total Force Perspective on Recruiting and Manning in the Years Ahead by David W. Grissmer and Sheila Nataraj Kirby Redesigning Military Recruitment for the Future by Benjamin J. Roberts The Shape of Things to Come Looking Ahead: The Shape of Things to Come by Mark J. Eitelberg and Stephen L. Mehay Bibliography Index