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Deborah G. Mayo - Statistical Inference as Severe Testing, Inbunden

Inbunden, Engelska, 2018

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing

How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars

Av Deborah G. Mayo

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Beskrivning
Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.
Produktinformation
  • Utgivningsdatum: 2018-09-20
  • Mått: 157 x 236 x 29 mm
  • Vikt: 930 g
  • Format: Inbunden
  • Språk: Engelska
  • Antal sidor: 500
  • Förlag: Cambridge University Press
  • ISBN: 9781107054134
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Mer om författaren

Deborah G. Mayo is Professor Emerita in the Department of Philosophy at Virginia Tech. Author of Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge (1996), she won the 1998 Lakatos Prize for an outstanding contribution to philosophy of science. She directed the NEH Summer Seminar (1999) on Philosophy of Experimental Inference. She co-founded, with G. W. Chatfield, the Fund for Experimental Reasoning, Reliability and Objectivity and Rationality (E.R.R.O.R) in 2006 which has co-sponsored 10 conferences, workshops and distinguished lecture series. She's a visiting professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science, Centre for the Philosophy of Natural and Social Science (CPNSS) (2007-present).

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'Deborah G. Mayo argues forcefully for a frequentist position on statistical inference, and it is a pleasure to see how passionately she treats the various issues analyzed. Her writing style is highly engaging and conversational: in her frequent recourses to the first person, one can almost hear the dialogue between herself and the various people with whom she debates. The book is at the same time of highest scientific quality. It may qualify as one of the liveliest books on the philosophy of statistical inference.' Gerd Gigerenzer, Max Planck Institute for Human Development

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