Wolfgang Lutz is leader of the Population Project at IIASA and lecturer at the University of Vienna. Originally published in 1996

• List of Illustrations Foreword Preface Introduction Contributors Part I: Why Another Set of Global Population Projections? 1. Long-range Global Population Projections: Lessons Learned Tomas Frejka 2. Alternative Approaches to Population Projection Wolfgang Lutz, Joshua R Goldstein, Christopher Prinz Part II: Future Fertility in Developing Countries 3. A Regional Review of Fertility Trends in Developing Countries: 1960 to 1995 John Cleland 4. Reproductive Preferences and Future Fertility in Developing Countries Charles F West08 5. Population Policies and Family-Planning in Southeast Asia Mercedes B Conception 6. Fertility in China: Past, Present, Prospects Grifith Feeney Part III: Future Mortality in Developing Countries 7. Mortality Trends in Developing Countries: A Survey Birgitta Bucht 8. Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends and Prospects Michel Garenne 9. Global Trends in AIDS Mortality John Bongaarts 10. How Many People Can Be Fed on Earth? Gerhard h' Heilig Part IV: Future Fertility and Mortality in Industrialized Countries 251 11. Future Reproductive Behavior in Industrialized Countries Wolfgang Lutz 12. The Future of Mortality at Older Ages in Developed Countries James W Vaupel and Hans Lundstrom Part V: The Future of Intercontinental Migration 13. Migration to and from Developing Regions: A Review of Past Trends Hania Zlotnik 14. Spatial and Economic Factors in Future South-North Migration Sture 0berg Part VI: Projections 15. World Population Scenarios for the 21st Century Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Anne Goujon 16. Probabilistic Population Projections Based on Expert Opinion Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov 17. Epilogue: Dilemmas in Population Stabilization Wolfgang Lutz Appendix Tables References Index

Wolfgang Lutz is leader of the Population Project at IIASA and lecturer at the University of Vienna. Originally published in 1996

• List of Illustrations Foreword Preface Introduction Contributors Part I: Why Another Set of Global Population Projections? 1. Long-range Global Population Projections: Lessons Learned Tomas Frejka 2. Alternative Approaches to Population Projection Wolfgang Lutz, Joshua R Goldstein, Christopher Prinz Part II: Future Fertility in Developing Countries 3. A Regional Review of Fertility Trends in Developing Countries: 1960 to 1995 John Cleland 4. Reproductive Preferences and Future Fertility in Developing Countries Charles F West08 5. Population Policies and Family-Planning in Southeast Asia Mercedes B Conception 6. Fertility in China: Past, Present, Prospects Grifith Feeney Part III: Future Mortality in Developing Countries 7. Mortality Trends in Developing Countries: A Survey Birgitta Bucht 8. Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends and Prospects Michel Garenne 9. Global Trends in AIDS Mortality John Bongaarts 10. How Many People Can Be Fed on Earth? Gerhard h' Heilig Part IV: Future Fertility and Mortality in Industrialized Countries 251 11. Future Reproductive Behavior in Industrialized Countries Wolfgang Lutz 12. The Future of Mortality at Older Ages in Developed Countries James W Vaupel and Hans Lundstrom Part V: The Future of Intercontinental Migration 13. Migration to and from Developing Regions: A Review of Past Trends Hania Zlotnik 14. Spatial and Economic Factors in Future South-North Migration Sture 0berg Part VI: Projections 15. World Population Scenarios for the 21st Century Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Anne Goujon 16. Probabilistic Population Projections Based on Expert Opinion Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov 17. Epilogue: Dilemmas in Population Stabilization Wolfgang Lutz Appendix Tables References Index

Wolfgang Lutz is leader of the Population Project at IIASA and lecturer at the University of Vienna. Originally published in 1996

• List of Illustrations Foreword Preface Introduction Contributors Part I: Why Another Set of Global Population Projections? 1. Long-range Global Population Projections: Lessons Learned Tomas Frejka 2. Alternative Approaches to Population Projection Wolfgang Lutz, Joshua R Goldstein, Christopher Prinz Part II: Future Fertility in Developing Countries 3. A Regional Review of Fertility Trends in Developing Countries: 1960 to 1995 John Cleland 4. Reproductive Preferences and Future Fertility in Developing Countries Charles F West08 5. Population Policies and Family-Planning in Southeast Asia Mercedes B Conception 6. Fertility in China: Past, Present, Prospects Grifith Feeney Part III: Future Mortality in Developing Countries 7. Mortality Trends in Developing Countries: A Survey Birgitta Bucht 8. Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa: Trends and Prospects Michel Garenne 9. Global Trends in AIDS Mortality John Bongaarts 10. How Many People Can Be Fed on Earth? Gerhard h' Heilig Part IV: Future Fertility and Mortality in Industrialized Countries 251 11. Future Reproductive Behavior in Industrialized Countries Wolfgang Lutz 12. The Future of Mortality at Older Ages in Developed Countries James W Vaupel and Hans Lundstrom Part V: The Future of Intercontinental Migration 13. Migration to and from Developing Regions: A Review of Past Trends Hania Zlotnik 14. Spatial and Economic Factors in Future South-North Migration Sture 0berg Part VI: Projections 15. World Population Scenarios for the 21st Century Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov, Anne Goujon 16. Probabilistic Population Projections Based on Expert Opinion Wolfgang Lutz, Warren Sanderson, Sergei Scherbov 17. Epilogue: Dilemmas in Population Stabilization Wolfgang Lutz Appendix Tables References Index