Future European Energy System

Prof. Dr. Dominik Möst is full professor of energy economics at the Technische Universität Dresden. Before being in Dresden, he was heading the Young Investigator Group (YIG) „New methods for energy market modelling“ and the research group „Energy system analysis and environment“at the Institute for Industrial Production at the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). He holds a Dr. rer. pol. from the Universität Karlsruhe (TH). His dissertation “On the competitiveness of hydropower in liberalized electricity markets” was awarded the Sparkassen-Preis for distinguished research at the Universität Karlsruhe. Dominik co-authored more than 100 articles, books and reports. He has ongoing and successfully completed scientific research and consulting projects with the European Union, government ministries, and different German and international companies. His research covers a broad range of topics from energy system and market modelling, energy market design, long range developments of energy markets and integration of renewable energies. Dominik has been awarded as Feodor-Lynen-Fellow of the Humboldt foundation at the University of Edinburgh. He is a member and chairman of the international business council renewables at Innogy SE as well as a member of scientific advisory boards (e.g. 50Hertz Transmission, German Aerospace Center Institute of Networked Energy Systems, etc.).Steffi Schreiber is a Researcher at the Chair of Energy Economics at the Technische Universität (TU) Dresden in Germany. She is one of the coordinators of the REFLEX project funded by the EU’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme, on which the analysis and results of this book are based. Her research focus is on energy system modeling and analysis of possible decarbonization pathways for the European electricity system, in particular flexibility options and sector coupling, and the system integration of renewable energy sources.Dr. Andrea Herbst is a Researcher at the Competence Center Energy Technologies and Energy Systems, Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI) in Karlsruhe, Germany. Her main focus is on the transformation of the industrial sector (deep decarbonization) and future scenarios regarding energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions. Dr. Martin Jakob, Dipl. Phys. Ing. ETH, is a Co-founder of and Managing Partner at TEP Energy since 2008. Before that he was a Research Associate and Project Manager at the engineering offices of Paul Widmer, at the Paul Scherrer Institute (PSI), and at the Center for Energy Policy and Economics (CEPE) of the ETH Zurich, Switzerland. He holds a doctorate from ETH Zurich in the economics of energy efficiency. His main interest is to integrate technological, economic and policy aspects in empirical, modeling, and implementation projects. Angelo Martino is a Senior Expert in transport policy analysis and modeling. His cross-disciplinary experience covers various key topics in European transport policy, ranging from energy efficiency to air quality issues, from sustainable transport measures to technology options and from the urban scale to the regional and national. He has previously served at the Polytechnic of Milan: as an Adjunct Professor of Transport Economics and Planning (2007–2010) and of Transport and Traffic Modeling (2002–2009). Dr. Witold-Roger Poganietz is Head of the research unit “Energy” at the Institute for Technology Assessment and Systems Analysis (ITAS), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) in Germany. Since 2015, he has also been Deputy Head of the Focus Area “Energy Systems Analysis” at the KIT Centre Energy. His main research interests are in socio-technological energy scenarios, and in the sustainability assessment of technologies and energy systems.

• Part I : Introduction, Scenario Description and Model Coupling Approach.- Chapter 1 - Introduction ( Dominik Möst, Steffi Schreiber and Martin Jakob).- Chapter 2 - Scenario Storyline in Context of Decarbonization Pathways for a Future European Energy System ( Andrea Herbst, Steffi Schreiber, Witold-Roger Poganietz, Angelo Martino and Dominik Möst).- Chapter 3 - Model Coupling Approach for the Analysis of the Future European Energy System ( Robert Kunze and Steffi Schreiber ).- Part II : Technological Progress.- Chapter 4 - Deriving Experience Curves and Implementing Technological Learning in Energy System Models ( Atse Louwen and Martin Junginger ).- Chapter 5 - Electric Vehicle Market Diffusion in Main Non-European Markets ( Katrin Seddig, Patrick Jochem and Wolf Fichtner ).- Part III : Demand Side Flexibility and the Role of Disruptive Technologies.- Chapter 6 - Future Energy Demand Developments and Demand Side Flexibility in a Decarbonized Central Energy System ( Andrea Herbst,Anna-Lena Klingler, Stephanie Heitel, Pia Manz, Tobias Fleiter, Matthias Rehfeldt, Francesca Fermi, Davide Fiorello, Angelo Martino and Ulrich Reiter).- Chapter 7 -  Disruptive Demand Side Technologies: Market Shares and Impact on Flexibility in a Decentralized World ( Stephanie Heitel, Anna-Lena Klingler, Andrea Herbst and Francesca Fermi ).- Chapter 8 - What is the Flexibility Potential in the Tertiary Sector? (Ulrich Reiter and Martin Jakob).- Chapter 9 - A Techno-Economic Comparison of Demand Side Management with Other Flexibility Options (Theresa Ladwig).- Part IV: Flexibility Options in the Electricity and Heating Sector.- Chapter 10 - Optimal Energy Portfolios in the Electricity Sector: Trade-offs and Interplay between Different Flexibility Options ( Steffi Schreiber, Christoph Zöphel and Dominik Möst ).- Chapter 11 - Impact of Electricity Market Designs on Investments in Flexibility Options ( Christoph Fraunholz, Dogan Keles and Wolf Fichtner ).- Chapter 12 - Optimal Energy Portfolios in the Heating Sector and the Flexibility Potential of Combined-Heat-Power Plants and District Heating Systems ( Maciej Raczyński, Artur Wyrwa, Marcin Pluta and Wojciech Suwała ).- Part V : Analysis of the Environmental and Socio-Impacts beyond the Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction Targets.- Chapter 13 - Unintended Environmental Impacts at Local and Global Scale – Trade-offs of a Low-carbon Electricity System (Maryegli Fuss and Lei Xu).-Chapter 14 - Assessing Social Impacts in Current and Future Electricity Production in the European Union (Nils Brown and David Lindén ).- Chapter 15 - Spatially Disaggregated Impact Pathway Analysis of Direct Particulate Matter Emissions (Janusz Zyśk, Artur Wyrwa, Beata Sliz-Szkliniarz).- Part VI : Concluding Remarks.- Chapter 16 - Comprehensive Insights and Recommendations (Dominik Möst, Andrea Herbst, Martin Jakob, Witold-Roger Poganietz, Steffi Schreiber and Christoph Zöphel).