Macroeconomic Survey Expectations

AvMichael P. Clements

Inbunden, Engelska, 2019

Del i serien Palgrave Texts in Econometrics

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Beskrivning

Why should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the difficulties posed by the way in which survey expectations are elicited and considers the evaluation of point predictions and probability distributions. He outlines how, from a behavioural perspective, surveys offer insight into how economic agents form their expectations.

Produktinformation

Utgivningsdatum:2019-01-15
Mått:148 x 210 x 23 mm
Vikt:474 g
Format:Inbunden
Språk:Engelska
Serie:Palgrave Texts in Econometrics
Antal sidor:196
Förlag:Springer International Publishing AG
ISBN:9783319972220

Utforska kategorier

Mikroekonomi inom Ekonomi och Ledarskap
Makroekonomi inom Ekonomi och Ledarskap

Mer om författaren

Michael Clements is Professor of Econometrics at the ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading, UK. He is Series Editor of Palgrave Texts in Econometrics and Palgrave Advanced Texts in Econometrics, and has published extensively on time series econometrics, modelling and forecasting.

Innehållsförteckning

Chapter 1: Introduction.- Chapter 2: The Nature of Survey Expectations.- Chapter 3: Working with Forecast Data.- Chapter 4: Assessing the Point Predictions.- Chapter 5: Assessing the Accuracy of the Probability Distributions.- Chapter 6: Consistency of the Point Forecasts and Probability Distributions.- Chapter 7: Macroeconomic Uncertainty - Surveys versus Models?.- Chapter 8: Behavioural Models of Expectations Formation.- Chapter 9: Expectations Shocks and the Macroeconomy.