Plausibility of Future Scenarios – Conceptualising an Unexplored Criterion in Scenario Planning

Ricarda Schmidt-Scheele is a postdoctoral research associate at the Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies (ZIRIUS), University of Stuttgart. Her research areas are scenarios and foresight methods in the context of energy transformation and sustainability processes. She also works as a facilitator at the Oxford Scenarios Programme at Saïd Business School, University of Oxford.

• List of Figures; List of Tables; Summary of the book; Introduction; Scenario planning: characteristics and current issues; Scenario plausibility: emerging debates in research and practice; Conceptual explorations: plausibility across disciplines; Empirical research: Methodology to study scenario plausibility; Experimental study: quantitative research findings; Experimental study: qualitative research findings; Synthesis: A conceptual map of scenario plausibility; Conclusions and outlook; Abbreviations; Acknowledgments; References.