James C. Garand – författare

Since the famous 1948 Dewey/Truman election, the role of polling has taken on increasing prominence in the American electoral process. Editors James Campbell and James Garand have pulled together some of the leading figures in political science to present their forecasts of the 1996 presidential election, along with accompanying analyses which discuss their methodology. Despite the relative lack of suspense about the eventual outcome, the various contributors have some very different angles on the enterprise of forecasting. Before the Vote presents a series of critiques, from prominent political scientists who look at the forecasting enterprise. Issues include whether more accurate models of predicting voter behavior damages the political climate by making politicians increasingly enslaved by pollsters, and the effect on turnout when there is a broad consensus of who the eventual winner will be. It will be a valuable addition to the bookshelves of political scientists interested in American electoral politics and those interested in broad questions surrounding social science research methods.

This book is targeted toward MSGI courses in political science, American government, American politics, parties and elections, public opinion and participation, media and politics, political analysis, and scholars who work in these areas.

Since the famous 1948 Dewey/Truman election, the role of polling has taken on increasing prominence in the American electoral process. Editors James Campbell and James Garand have pulled together some of the leading figures in political science to present their forecasts of the 1996 presidential election, along with accompanying analyses which discuss their methodology. Despite the relative lack of suspense about the eventual outcome, the various contributors have some very different angles on the enterprise of forecasting. Before the Vote presents a series of critiques, from prominent political scientists who look at the forecasting enterprise. Issues include whether more accurate models of predicting voter behavior damages the political climate by making politicians increasingly enslaved by pollsters, and the effect on turnout when there is a broad consensus of who the eventual winner will be. It will be a valuable addition to the bookshelves of political scientists interested in American electoral politics and those interested in broad questions surrounding social science research methods.

This book is targeted toward MSGI courses in political science, American government, American politics, parties and elections, public opinion and participation, media and politics, political analysis, and scholars who work in these areas.

This book brings together a group of respected congressional election scholars to explore how and why the 2022 midterm congressional elections unfolded as they did.

The 2022 midterm congressional elections were full of surprises. Most political observers expected the Republicans to gain substantial majority in House of Representatives, but instead, they secured a narrow majority in the House and lost control of the Senate. So, what happened? Did former President Donald Trump have a negative effect on Republican prospects in both the House and Senate? What was the role of recent abortion decisions by the U.S. Supreme Court in shaping outcomes in House and Senate elections? Did redistricting play a major part in shaping the electoral context in a way that favoured one party or the other? What about candidate quality— that is, did variation in the quality of congressional candidates matter? What was the role of social media in the 2022 congressional elections? In this book, the authors explore these important questions.

This book will appeal to scholars, students, and political analysts interested in U.S. elections, contemporary U.S. politics, public policy, and political behaviour.

The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Journal of Political Marketing.

This book brings together a group of respected congressional election scholars to explore how and why the 2022 midterm congressional elections unfolded as they did.

The 2022 midterm congressional elections were full of surprises. Most political observers expected the Republicans to gain substantial majority in House of Representatives, but instead, they secured a narrow majority in the House and lost control of the Senate. So, what happened? Did former President Donald Trump have a negative effect on Republican prospects in both the House and Senate? What was the role of recent abortion decisions by the U.S. Supreme Court in shaping outcomes in House and Senate elections? Did redistricting play a major part in shaping the electoral context in a way that favoured one party or the other? What about candidate quality— that is, did variation in the quality of congressional candidates matter? What was the role of social media in the 2022 congressional elections? In this book, the authors explore these important questions.

This book will appeal to scholars, students, and political analysts interested in U.S. elections, contemporary U.S. politics, public policy, and political behaviour.

The chapters in this book were originally published as a special issue of Journal of Political Marketing.