Peter Olofsson – författare

What are the chances?

Find out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives

“If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” — Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct

“A delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.” — John Allen Paulos, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper

“Beautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly about the uncertainty that governs our lives.” — John Haigh, University of Sussex, author of Taking Chances: Winning with Probability

From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives investigates the often-surprising effects of risk and chance in our everyday lives. With examples ranging from WWII espionage to the O. J. Simpson trial, from bridge to blackjack, from Julius Caesar to Jerry Seinfeld, the reader is taught how to think straight in a world of randomness and uncertainty. Throughout the book, readers learn:

Why it is not that surprising for someone to win the lottery twice How a faulty probability calculation forced an innocent woman to spend three years in prison How to place bets if you absolutely insist on gambling How a newspaper turned an opinion poll into one of the greatest election blunders in history

Educational, eloquent, and entertaining, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives is the ideal companion for anyone who wants to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance.

What are the chances?Find out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives“If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.”— Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct“A delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.”— John Allen Paulos, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper“Beautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly about the uncertainty that governs our lives.”— John Haigh, University of Sussex, author of Taking Chances: Winning with ProbabilityFrom probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives investigates the often-surprising effects of risk and chance in our everyday lives. With examples ranging from WWII espionage to the O. J. Simpson trial, from bridge to blackjack, from Julius Caesar to Jerry Seinfeld, the reader is taught how to think straight in a world of randomness and uncertainty. Throughout the book, readers learn: Why it is not that surprising for someone to win the lottery twiceHow a faulty probability calculation forced an innocent woman to spend three years in prisonHow to place bets if you absolutely insist on gamblingHow a newspaper turned an opinion poll into one of the greatest election blunders in historyEducational, eloquent, and entertaining, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives is the ideal companion for anyone who wants to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance.

Praise for the First Edition". . . an excellent textbook . . . well organized and neatly written."—Mathematical Reviews". . . amazingly interesting . . ."—TechnometricsThoroughly updated to showcase the interrelationships between probability, statistics, and stochastic processes, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition prepares readers to collect, analyze, and characterize data in their chosen fields.Beginning with three chapters that develop probability theory and introduce the axioms of probability, random variables, and joint distributions, the book goes on to present limit theorems and simulation. The authors combine a rigorous, calculus-based development of theory with an intuitive approach that appeals to readers' sense of reason and logic. Including more than 400 examples that help illustrate concepts and theory, the Second Edition features new material on statistical inference and a wealth of newly added topics, including: Consistency of point estimators Large sample theory Bootstrap simulation Multiple hypothesis testing Fisher's exact test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test Martingales, renewal processes, and Brownian motion One-way analysis of variance and the general linear model Extensively class-tested to ensure an accessible presentation, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition is an excellent book for courses on probability and statistics at the upper-undergraduate level. The book is also an ideal resource for scientists and engineers in the fields of statistics, mathematics, industrial management, and engineering.

A mathematical and intuitive approach to probability, statistics, and stochastic processes

This textbook provides a unique, balanced approach to probability, statistics, and stochastic processes. Readers gain a solid foundation in all three fields that serves as a stepping stone to more advanced investigations into each area. This text combines a rigorous, calculus-based development of theory with a more intuitive approach that appeals to readers'' sense of reason and logic, an approach developed through the author''s many years of classroom experience.

The text begins with three chapters that develop probability theory and introduce the axioms of probability, random variables, and joint distributions. The next two chapters introduce limit theorems and simulation. Also included is a chapter on statistical inference with a section on Bayesian statistics, which is an important, though often neglected, topic for undergraduate-level texts. Markov chains in discrete and continuous time are also discussed within the book.

More than 400 examples are interspersed throughout the text to help illustrate concepts and theory and to assist the reader in developing an intuitive sense of the subject. Readers will find many of the examples to be both entertaining and thought provoking. This is also true for the carefully selected problems that appear at the end of each chapter.

This book is an excellent text for upper-level undergraduate courses. While many texts treat probability theory and statistical inference or probability theory and stochastic processes, this text enables students to become proficient in all three of these essential topics. For students in science and engineering who may take only one course in probability theory, mastering all three areas will better prepare them to collect, analyze, and characterize data in their chosen fields.

Praise for the First Edition

". . . an excellent textbook . . . well organized and neatly written." —Mathematical Reviews

". . . amazingly interesting . . ." —Technometrics

Thoroughly updated to showcase the interrelationships between probability, statistics, and stochastic processes, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition prepares readers to collect, analyze, and characterize data in their chosen fields.

Beginning with three chapters that develop probability theory and introduce the axioms of probability, random variables, and joint distributions, the book goes on to present limit theorems and simulation. The authors combine a rigorous, calculus-based development of theory with an intuitive approach that appeals to readers'' sense of reason and logic. Including more than 400 examples that help illustrate concepts and theory, the Second Edition features new material on statistical inference and a wealth of newly added topics, including:

Consistency of point estimators

Large sample theory

Bootstrap simulation

Multiple hypothesis testing

Fisher''s exact test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test

Martingales, renewal processes, and Brownian motion

One-way analysis of variance and the general linear model

Extensively class-tested to ensure an accessible presentation, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition is an excellent book for courses on probability and statistics at the upper-undergraduate level. The book is also an ideal resource for scientists and engineers in the fields of statistics, mathematics, industrial management, and engineering.

Praise for the First Edition

". . . an excellent textbook . . . well organized and neatly written." —Mathematical Reviews

". . . amazingly interesting . . ." —Technometrics

Thoroughly updated to showcase the interrelationships between probability, statistics, and stochastic processes, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition prepares readers to collect, analyze, and characterize data in their chosen fields.

Beginning with three chapters that develop probability theory and introduce the axioms of probability, random variables, and joint distributions, the book goes on to present limit theorems and simulation. The authors combine a rigorous, calculus-based development of theory with an intuitive approach that appeals to readers'' sense of reason and logic. Including more than 400 examples that help illustrate concepts and theory, the Second Edition features new material on statistical inference and a wealth of newly added topics, including:

Consistency of point estimators

Large sample theory

Bootstrap simulation

Multiple hypothesis testing

Fisher''s exact test and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test

Martingales, renewal processes, and Brownian motion

One-way analysis of variance and the general linear model

Extensively class-tested to ensure an accessible presentation, Probability, Statistics, and Stochastic Processes, Second Edition is an excellent book for courses on probability and statistics at the upper-undergraduate level. The book is also an ideal resource for scientists and engineers in the fields of statistics, mathematics, industrial management, and engineering.

What are the chances?

Find out in this entertaining exploration ofprobabilities in our everyday lives

“If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” — Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Math Instinct

“A delightful guide to the sometimes counterintuitive discipline of probability. Olofsson points out major ideas here, explains classic puzzles there, and everywhere makes free use of witty vignettes to instruct and amuse.” — John Allen Paulos, Temple University, author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Reads the Newspaper

“Beautifully written, with fascinating examples and tidbits of information. Olofsson gently and persuasively shows us how to think clearly about the uncertainty that governs our lives.” — John Haigh, University of Sussex, author of Taking Chances: Winning with Probability

From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives investigates the often-surprising effects of risk and chance in our everyday lives. With examples ranging from WWII espionage to the O. J. Simpson trial, from bridge to blackjack, from Julius Caesar to Jerry Seinfeld, the reader is taught how to think straight in a world of randomness and uncertainty. Throughout the book, readers learn:

Why it is not that surprising for someone to win the lottery twice How a faulty probability calculation forced an innocent woman to spend three years in prison How to place bets if you absolutely insist on gambling How a newspaper turned an opinion poll into one of the greatest election blunders in history

Educational, eloquent, and entertaining, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives is the ideal companion for anyone who wants to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance.

Praise for the First Edition “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” - Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Unfinished Game From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition investigates the often surprising effects of risk and chance in our lives. Featuring a timely update, the Second Edition continues to be the go-to guidebook for an entertaining presentation on the mathematics of chance and uncertainty. The new edition develops the fundamental mathematics of probability in a unique, clear, and informal way so readers with various levels of experience with probability can understand the little numbers found in everyday life. Illustrating the concepts of probability through relevant and engaging real-world applications, the Second Edition features numerous examples on weather forecasts, DNA evidence, games and gambling, and medical testing. The revised edition also includes:

The application of probability in finance, such as option pricing The introduction of branching processes and the extinction of family names An extended discussion on opinion polls and Nate Silver’s election predictions Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition is an ideal reference for anyone who would like to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance, as well as a useful supplementary textbook for students in any course dealing with probability.

Praise for the First Edition “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” - Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Unfinished Game From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition investigates the often surprising effects of risk and chance in our lives. Featuring a timely update, the Second Edition continues to be the go-to guidebook for an entertaining presentation on the mathematics of chance and uncertainty. The new edition develops the fundamental mathematics of probability in a unique, clear, and informal way so readers with various levels of experience with probability can understand the little numbers found in everyday life. Illustrating the concepts of probability through relevant and engaging real-world applications, the Second Edition features numerous examples on weather forecasts, DNA evidence, games and gambling, and medical testing. The revised edition also includes: The application of probability in finance, such as option pricingThe introduction of branching processes and the extinction of family namesAn extended discussion on opinion polls and Nate Silver’s election predictions Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition is an ideal reference for anyone who would like to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance, as well as a useful supplementary textbook for students in any course dealing with probability.

Praise for the First Edition “If there is anything you want to know, or remind yourself, about probabilities, then look no further than this comprehensive, yet wittily written and enjoyable, compendium of how to apply probability calculations in real-world situations.” - Keith Devlin, Stanford University, National Public Radio’s “Math Guy” and author of The Math Gene and The Unfinished Game From probable improbabilities to regular irregularities, Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition investigates the often surprising effects of risk and chance in our lives. Featuring a timely update, the Second Edition continues to be the go-to guidebook for an entertaining presentation on the mathematics of chance and uncertainty. The new edition develops the fundamental mathematics of probability in a unique, clear, and informal way so readers with various levels of experience with probability can understand the little numbers found in everyday life. Illustrating the concepts of probability through relevant and engaging real-world applications, the Second Edition features numerous examples on weather forecasts, DNA evidence, games and gambling, and medical testing. The revised edition also includes:

The application of probability in finance, such as option pricing The introduction of branching processes and the extinction of family names An extended discussion on opinion polls and Nate Silver’s election predictions Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives, Second Edition is an ideal reference for anyone who would like to obtain a better understanding of the mathematics of chance, as well as a useful supplementary textbook for students in any course dealing with probability.

Pensionerade parkeringsvakten Linnea Oscarsson visste inte vad hon skulle tro. Ett efterlämnat skrin från en gammal släkting visar sig innehålla en brevväxling där Oscar II är inblandad. Och det ser ut som att det finns dyrbarheter att hämta. Men var? Hon tar sin unge vän Johan till hjälp för att lösa mysteriet. Det börjar med ett lyckat inköp av en begagnad dator men övergår snart i ond bråd död. Om hon ändå inte rört det där verktyget … När städerskan på Sveriges VVS-museum i Bromma finner en ihjälslagen man i samlingens plåtbadkar kopplas polisen in och kriminalinspektörerna Karin Orre och Lukas Rosenquist står inför ett mysterium som till sist inbegriper en vettskrämd kvinna och en libanesisk gangsterklan. Kjell E. Genberg har skrivit romaner i flera genrer sedan bokdebuten 1966. Han har arbetat som sjöman, dykarskötare, lotsbiträde, mudderverksarbetare, pråmskeppare, musiker, truckförare, journalist, popbandsmanager och tidningsutgivare. Peter Olofsson är chefredaktör för tidningen Energi & Miljö. Han har varit kommunikationschef inom flera stora företag och även arbetat som reklam- och tidningsmakare. Han har skrivit ”Spänning och ledning under hundra år” om elektricitetens utveckling i Sverige.

Kriminalinspektörerna Karin Orre och Lukas Rosenquist hämtar Linnea Oscarsson från kvinnofängelset Hinseberg. Året innan hade de sett till att hon hamnat där som ansvarig för en ung pojkes död. En vattenläcka i Linneas badrum blir upprinnelsen till intensiv kärlek, avancerad narkotikasmuggling, oväntad död – och upprörda känslor mellan en rörmokare och en elektriker. Vad är det som pågår på nybygget i Annedal i Bromma? Hur passar Templet i Gnesta in i bilden? Polisen utreder på hemmaplan. I Montenegro byggs en tidigare nazistisk kommandocentral om till ett lyxigt hotellkomplex. Men vad döljer sig i hotellets källare? Peter Olofsson är chefredaktör för tidningen Energi & Miljö. Han har varit kommunikationschef och även arbetat som reklam- och tidningsmakare. Han har skrivit ”Spänning och ledning under hundra år” om elektricitetens utveckling i Sverige. Kjell E. Genberg har skrivit romaner i flera genrer sedan bokdebuten 1966. Han har arbetat som sjöman, dykarskötare, lotsbiträde, mudderverksarbetare, pråmskeppare, musiker, truckförare, journalist, popbandsmanager och tidningsutgivare.

Per Fleck blir en smula galen … och ett dussin andra skrönor från Lillesta är en samling på tretton berättelser som utspelar sig i en fiktiv svensk småort. Det handlar om människorna i utkanten av dramatiken: de som får vardagen att gå ihop medan verkligheten – ibland bokstavligen – skenar. Genom skrönans fria form förenas värme och satir, humor och allvar, och berättelser skapas där det lokala speglar något allmänmänskligt. Lillesta är en plats som inte finns, men som kunde ha legat var som helst. Här finns en gubbpanel på Centralkonditoriet, en själavårdande men svajig kyrkoherde, ett par överbelastade polisassistenter – och människor som på olika sätt konfronteras med det oväntade. I varje berättelse finns ett brott eller en kris, men också spår av försoning, eftertanke och skratt.

Det finns ett land som bara öppnar sig för den som minns hur det var att längta. Ett land av mörker och ljus, stillhet och rörelse, doften av gran och ljudet av steg i snö. Det landet heter Tomteland. Här möts åtta författare i nitton berättelser där julens glans blandas med skuggor. Medverkande författare: Peter Olofsson, Kjell E. Genberg, Britta Ivarsson Possnert, Richard Nordström, Ulf Durling, Ulf Broberg, Lena Köster och Karin Tjäder.

Nio novellmästare, nio kapitel, nio författarskap. En berättelse, som liksom mästarnas noveller, kan spreta åt alla håll. Ett experiment egentligen, där de olika författarna tillsammans arbetar fram en stafettroman. Principen är enkel. Någon börjar, någon annan fortsätter, utan att veta vem som skrivit tidigare. Var och en måste förhålla sig till den redan skrivna texten.