Daniel Silverman is Assistant Professor of Political Science in the Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy and Technology (CMIST) at Carnegie Mellon University. He has published articles on international security, peace, and conflict in a number of leading scholarly journals including International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, the Journal of Conflict Resolution, and Journal of Peace Research, along with public-facing outlets such as The Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, National Interest, and Political Violence at a Glance.

'Neatly shows that in wartime people routinely believe false information that supports their side, until they have skin in the game and need accurate information to guide their behavior.' Sacha Altay, University of Zurich

• 1. Introduction: the problem of factual misinformation and misperception in war; 2. A theory of people's factual beliefs and credulity in war; 3. Factual misperceptions in the US drone campaign in Pakistan; 4. Proximity to the fighting and the puncturing of factual bias in Iraq; 5. Truth discernment and personal exposure in the Syrian civil war; 6. Understanding and mitigating the appeal of falsehood in wartime.

Daniel Silverman is Assistant Professor of Political Science in the Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy and Technology (CMIST) at Carnegie Mellon University. He has published articles on international security, peace, and conflict in a number of leading scholarly journals including International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, the Journal of Conflict Resolution, and Journal of Peace Research, along with public-facing outlets such as The Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, National Interest, and Political Violence at a Glance.

'Neatly shows that in wartime people routinely believe false information that supports their side, until they have skin in the game and need accurate information to guide their behavior.' Sacha Altay, University of Zurich

• 1. Introduction: the problem of factual misinformation and misperception in war; 2. A theory of people's factual beliefs and credulity in war; 3. Factual misperceptions in the US drone campaign in Pakistan; 4. Proximity to the fighting and the puncturing of factual bias in Iraq; 5. Truth discernment and personal exposure in the Syrian civil war; 6. Understanding and mitigating the appeal of falsehood in wartime.

Daniel Silverman is Assistant Professor of Political Science in the Carnegie Mellon Institute for Strategy and Technology (CMIST) at Carnegie Mellon University. He has published articles on international security, peace, and conflict in a number of leading scholarly journals including International Organization, International Studies Quarterly, the Journal of Conflict Resolution, and Journal of Peace Research, along with public-facing outlets such as The Washington Post, Chicago Tribune, National Interest, and Political Violence at a Glance.

'Neatly shows that in wartime people routinely believe false information that supports their side, until they have skin in the game and need accurate information to guide their behavior.' Sacha Altay, University of Zurich

• 1. Introduction: the problem of factual misinformation and misperception in war; 2. A theory of people's factual beliefs and credulity in war; 3. Factual misperceptions in the US drone campaign in Pakistan; 4. Proximity to the fighting and the puncturing of factual bias in Iraq; 5. Truth discernment and personal exposure in the Syrian civil war; 6. Understanding and mitigating the appeal of falsehood in wartime.