Systems Modeling

Mukhtar Ahmed’s research focuses on the impact of climate change on crop ecology, crop physiology, cropping system and rain-fed ecosystem management. He has been involved in teaching and research since 2005. During his PhD and visit to Sydney University, Australia, he worked on the application of APSIM as a decision support tool, and rainfall forecasting using generalised additive models. He was awarded a young scientist fellowship by APCC South Korea. He also won a research productivity award from Pakistan Council of Science and Technology (PCST), and a Publons reviewer award in 2018 and 2019.  He was part of the Regional Approaches for Climate Change (REACCH) project in the USA, which developed multi-model ensemble approaches to minimize the uncertainties. He is involved in the use of statistical and dynamic models as risk management tools to mitigate the challenges of climate change. His current research includes agroecosystems modelling, precision agriculture, modelling the nutrient use efficiency of legume-based cropping systems, forage agronomy and physiological responses to climate variability and its modelling. He is a Project co-leader in the Model Calibration Group of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AGMIP) Wheat and Maize Evapotranspiration.

• Chapter 1. Systems Modeling.- Chapter 2. Crop Phenotyping.- Chapter 3. Statistics and Modeling.- Chapter 4. Dynamic Modeling.- Chapter 5. Models Calibration and Evaluation.- Chapter 6. Wheat crop modeling for higher production.- Chapter 7. Genetic Analysis.- Chapter 8. Sugarcane: Contribution of process-based models for understanding and mitigating impacts of climate variability and change on production.- Chapter 9. Forecasting of rainfed wheat yield in Pothwar using Landsat 8 satellite imagery and DSSAT.- Chapter 10. Methane production in dairy cows, inhibition, measurement and predicting models.- Chapter 11. Sunflower Modeling: A Review.- Chapter 12. Disease Modeling as a Tool to Assess the Impacts of Climate Variability on Plant  Diseases and Health.- Chapter 13. Chickpea Modeling under Rainfed Conditions.- Chapter 14. Potato Modeling.- Chapter 15. Application of Generalised Additive Model for Rainfall Forecasting in Rainfed Pothwar Pakistan.