Paul Bracken – författare

How new military technologies require radically new thinking about peace, war, national security, and international orderDangerous military technologies are spreading to great powers, secondary, and even tertiary powers. Many more countries have access to nuclear weapons, hypersonic missiles, killer drones, cyber war, laser death rays, quantum radar, and designer bioweapons. AI’s role is to coordinate this ecosystem of new war machines.Yale professor Paul Bracken presents a guide, in clear non-technical language, to the military and political realities to the days ahead. He argues that the arms race the world now faces require a big picture strategic view—one that focuses not on individual technologies but on how interconnected weapons make the coming years far more dangerous than are realized. Bracken adopts “possible worlds” theory, used in AI, technology management, and business to analyze the wars and arms races ahead. In an era when disruptive technologies are rapidly increasing, Bracken shows us new ways of thinking about survival and arms control in an all too multipolar world.

This book provides some answers to the questions of how to pursue the build-down of the East-West military confrontation in Europe and of how to build up an enduring and effective security system for Europe. It is the result of a three year study of European security affairs.

This book provides some answers to the questions of how to pursue the build-down of the East-West military confrontation in Europe and of how to build up an enduring and effective security system for Europe. It is the result of a three year study of European security affairs.

The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.

The scope and applicability of risk management have expanded greatly over the past decade. Banks, corporations, and public agencies employ its new technologies both in their daily operations and long-term investments. It would be unimaginable today for a global bank to operate without such systems in place. Similarly, many areas of public management, from NASA to the Centers for Disease Control, have recast their programs using risk management strategies. It is particularly striking, therefore, that such thinking has failed to penetrate the field of national security policy. Venturing into uncharted waters, Managing Strategic Surprise brings together risk management experts and practitioners from different fields with internationally-recognized national security scholars to produce the first systematic inquiry into risk and its applications in national security. The contributors examine whether advance risk assessment and management techniques can be successfully applied to address contemporary national security challenges.

Originally delivered during three conferences organized by the American Association for the Advancement of Science, this collection of essays by prominent scholars from around the globe discusses how weapons of mass destruction are created and delivered, and assesses the impact of these weapons on diverse cultures, environmental well-being, and regional security.

The cold war ended more than two decades ago, and with its end came a reduction in the threat of nuclear weapons - a luxury that we can no longer indulge. It's not just the threat of Iran getting the bomb or North Korea doing something rash; the whole complexion of global power politics is changing because of the reemergence of nuclear weapons as a vital element of statecraft and power politics. In short, we have entered the second nuclear age. In this provocative and agenda-setting book, Paul Bracken of Yale University argues that we need to pay renewed attention to nuclear weapons and how their presence will transform the way crises develop and escalate. He draws on his years of experience analyzing defense strategy to make the case that the United States needs to start thinking seriously about these issues once again, especially as new countries acquire nuclear capabilities.He walks us through war-game scenarios that are all too realistic, to show how nuclear weapons are changing the calculus of power politics, and he offers an incisive tour of the Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia to underscore how the United States must not allow itself to be unprepared for managing such crises. Frank in its tone and farsighted in its analysis, The Second Nuclear Age is the essential guide to the new rules of international politics.