Tillämpad matematik

Information Modeling and Relational Databases, Third Edition, provides thorough coverage of information modeling approaches, including object-role modeling (ORM), entity-relationship (ER) modeling, and the unified modeling language (UML). It shows how to map models developed with those approaches to a variety of relational and nonrelational database systems, including document databases, column-oriented databases, graph databases, and deductive databases. Process and state modeling, ontological modeling, and metamodeling are also covered. For this new edition, the coverage of ORM, ER, UML, SQL, OWL, and BPMN has been thoroughly updated to include their latest versions. A significant amount of new material has been added. Various data file formats such as CSV, XML, JSON, YAML, and some other markup languages are now covered, and a more thorough treatment is provided for nonrelational databases, especially NoSQL. One of the major features of the book is its large number of exercises, which have been thoroughly class-tested. This book is intended for anyone with a stake in the accuracy and efficacy of databases such as systems analysts, information modelers, database designers and administrators, and programmers.

How dangerous is our diet? How much of sports falls into the realm of luck? When authorities categorize a given event as "highly likely"-how likely is that, really? Whether we're trying to decide if the benefits of a new medication are worth the chance of side effects or if artificial intelligence truly threatens humanity, our lives are riddled with uncertainties both everyday and existential-yet it can be difficult to know how to properly weigh all those unknowns. Luckily for us, renowned statistician David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data to resolve the apparently random and decode the many decisions we face with imperfect information. In The Art of Uncertainty, he shows how we can become better at dealing with what we don't know to make smarter choices in a world so full of puzzling variables.

In lucid, lively prose, Spiegelhalter guides us through the principles of probability, illustrating how they can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to sports to climate change forecasts. He demonstrates how taking a mathematical approach to phenomena we might otherwise attribute to fate or luck can help us sort hidden patterns from mere coincidences, better evaluate cause and effect, and predict what’s likely to happen in the future. Along the way, we learn how a misinterpretation of a probability contributed to the infamous Bay of Pigs fiasco, why a ship twice the size of the Titanic sank without a trace, and why we can be so confident that no two properly shuffled decks of cards have ever been in the same order.

Sparkling with wit and fascinating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also retaining the humility to admit what we don’t, or simply cannot, know.